GA: InsiderAdvantage/Fox5: Perdue +10

[KCDem]

Insider Advantage is garbage, throw in trash.

[KCDem]

Yeah this is a lean R firm, but it looks like Perdue's in decent shape.

My case for you being an idiot just got stronger.

[KCDem]

Yeah this is a lean R firm, but it looks like Perdue's in decent shape.

My case for you being an idiot just got stronger.

Well, when Perdue also led in several other polls by margins of 3 or 4, that indicates that Perdue is in decent shape.  I consider decent shape for Perdue being able to keep Nunn under 50.  It seems very unlikely he can't at least do that.

How does that mean Perdue is in decent shape? Sure they'll be a runoff, but if she ends up ahead of Perdue in November, that's not good news for Perdue. You're basically assuming Nunn has the edge in November.

[KCDem]

Yeah this is a lean R firm, but it looks like Perdue's in decent shape.

My case for you being an idiot just got stronger.

Well, when Perdue also led in several other polls by margins of 3 or 4, that indicates that Perdue is in decent shape.  I consider decent shape for Perdue being able to keep Nunn under 50.  It seems very unlikely he can't at least do that.

How does that mean Perdue is in decent shape? Sure they'll be a runoff, but if she ends up ahead of Perdue in November, that's not good news for Perdue. You're basically assuming Nunn has the edge in November.

Turnout in Georgia drops off like a rock....take a look at 2008 GE results vs the runoff.   This will almost certainly favor Republicans.  As most forumites have pointed out, it would be very hard for Nunn to win a runoff.

Obviously true, but if she finishes ahead of Perdue in November she is in better shape than if she finishes in second.

[KCDem]

Yeah this is a lean R firm, but it looks like Perdue's in decent shape.

My case for you being an idiot just got stronger.

Well, when Perdue also led in several other polls by margins of 3 or 4, that indicates that Perdue is in decent shape.  I consider decent shape for Perdue being able to keep Nunn under 50.  It seems very unlikely he can't at least do that.

How does that mean Perdue is in decent shape? Sure they'll be a runoff, but if she ends up ahead of Perdue in November, that's not good news for Perdue. You're basically assuming Nunn has the edge in November.

Turnout in Georgia drops off like a rock....take a look at 2008 GE results vs the runoff.   This will almost certainly favor Republicans.  As most forumites have pointed out, it would be very hard for Nunn to win a runoff.

Obviously true, but if she finishes ahead of Perdue in November she is in better shape than if she finishes in second.

If it goes to a run-off, they'll be close enough it won't matter who was 'first.' The Dems can't allow either race to go to a runoff.

Not if the result is 49-46-5 Nunn-Perdue-others.