GA: InsiderAdvantage/Fox5: Perdue +10 (user search)
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  GA: InsiderAdvantage/Fox5: Perdue +10 (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA: InsiderAdvantage/Fox5: Perdue +10  (Read 2750 times)
GaussLaw
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« on: September 12, 2014, 10:10:22 PM »

Yeah this is a lean R firm, but it looks like Perdue's in decent shape. Smiley
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GaussLaw
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Posts: 1,279
« Reply #1 on: September 13, 2014, 04:24:43 PM »

Yeah this is a lean R firm, but it looks like Perdue's in decent shape. Smiley

My case for you being an idiot just got stronger.

Well, when Perdue also led in several other polls by margins of 3 or 4, that indicates that Perdue is in decent shape.  I consider decent shape for Perdue being able to keep Nunn under 50.  It seems very unlikely he can't at least do that.
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GaussLaw
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,279
« Reply #2 on: September 13, 2014, 08:16:46 PM »

Yeah this is a lean R firm, but it looks like Perdue's in decent shape. Smiley

My case for you being an idiot just got stronger.

Well, when Perdue also led in several other polls by margins of 3 or 4, that indicates that Perdue is in decent shape.  I consider decent shape for Perdue being able to keep Nunn under 50.  It seems very unlikely he can't at least do that.

How does that mean Perdue is in decent shape? Sure they'll be a runoff, but if she ends up ahead of Perdue in November, that's not good news for Perdue. You're basically assuming Nunn has the edge in November.

Turnout in Georgia drops off like a rock....take a look at 2008 GE results vs the runoff.   This will almost certainly favor Republicans.  As most forumites have pointed out, it would be very hard for Nunn to win a runoff.
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