States where African-American candidates have a hard time winning statewide (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 16, 2024, 01:04:49 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  U.S. General Discussion (Moderators: The Dowager Mod, Chancellor Tanterterg)
  States where African-American candidates have a hard time winning statewide (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: States where African-American candidates have a hard time winning statewide  (Read 3137 times)
Zioneer
PioneerProgress
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,451
United States


« on: March 21, 2015, 04:49:05 PM »

I think an African-American candidate would be able to win in every US state right now.

That candidate of course has to be in the right party though (GOP in the South and heavily-GOP states and Democratic in the Dem. states), run a good campaign and raise a good amount of cash.

Tim Scott for example didn't have much of a problem in South Carolina, it's just that a Democratic Black cannot win there.

Mia Love in Utah is the same way; the fact that she's a Black Republican Mormon means she can win in Utah. If she were a Black Democratic Mormon, she'd have no chance. Simple as that.
Logged
Zioneer
PioneerProgress
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,451
United States


« Reply #1 on: March 21, 2015, 05:01:31 PM »

Utah, given how narrowly Mia Love won as a well-funded Republican.

I don't think even a staunch conservative AA candidate would have an easy ride in Alabama.

Nah, Mia Love lost the first time and narrowly won the second time because she's a terrible, undisciplined candidate, and in the second election, Doug Owens ended up being a better campaigner and GOTVer than anyone expected. It wasn't racism. When Mormons are racist, they're racist to non-Mormon minorities, not Mormon minorities.
Logged
Zioneer
PioneerProgress
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,451
United States


« Reply #2 on: March 24, 2015, 10:52:04 AM »

Pretty sure we won't see an African-American represent Vermont anytime soon. Tongue

Doesn't Utah have about as low a percentage of African-Americans as Vermont? Checking Wikipedia... Looks like the 2010 census says that Vermont had 1% African-American population, and Utah has 1.1% (probably because of Somali and Sudanese refugees; we've got a couple thousand of them).

All states with less than 10% African-Americans. Neither party would be inclined to select an African-American in those.

We'll see in 2018... Utah at least could elect an African-American statewide, and I'm sure that a few other states could as well.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.025 seconds with 12 queries.