US House Redistricting: Arizona

[minionofmidas]

Would the US Supreme Court have had the power to undo Bill Clinton's impeachment on the grounds that the charges weren't sufficient?  If not, what makes this different?  

It's a completely different procedure that just had the same name stuck on it by lazy lawmakers.

How so?

Well, for one thing US impeachment is something the House does and which leads to a trial in the Senate. And is preceded by extensive quasi-legal hearings in the House (judicial committee) as well. It's a specific procedure to try people who enjoy immunity from normal criminal proceedings.
This is a mechanism for the Governor to remove somebody from a Commission, with Senatorial approval. There was no semblance of even a kangaroo trial. It's really, really not what the word "impeachment" was invented for (not by any American, need I add?) The only thing that vaguely resembles an impeachment is the line about this being only in case of (do I need up the exact wording? Nah) - specifically where they're as hazily defined as in the US Constitution. Which, obviously, opens the floodgates to judicial interpretation.

[minionofmidas]

That ridiculous pseudocarve of Cochise ended. Positive. And then a huge clockwise shift of small patches as a result... including Schweikert's residence, now outside the large R sink (and in the NE Maricopa R district with Quayle). And the official excuse for that R sink waived by breaching the Maricopa-Pinal line there after all.

And CD1 is still in Pima where it does not belong.
Florence does certainly belong in CD1 though.

[minionofmidas]

It would seem easy and natural to swap the Pinal portion of CD 4 with the Yavapai portion of CD 1.

Not remotely, actually. Except for Florence which belongs with CD1, the Pinal portion of CD4 belongs with (uh... whatever number they gave what used to be CD6?) Of course, that pushes the "marginal" (= lean D) Maricopa district east... and back into at least pure tossup, if not lean R territory, depending on how it's drawn exactly.
The Yavapai portion of CD1 belongs with CD1. The county line is pretty ridiculous around there, cutting right through the Sedona area. Though taking account of that leaves little justification for keeping the Payson Republicans in CD4...

[minionofmidas]

Their justification for putting CD1 in Pima was that it allowed them to keep Cochise whole.

That could have been achieved in other ways though. Most effortlessly by putting all of Cochise in CD1 and extending Giffords into Pinal. Splitting Cochise on a more reasonable line - SV for Giffords, border towns for CD1 - would also have been a reasonable option... and also would have made a lot of sense from a Dem operative POV.

[minionofmidas]

http://maps.google.com/maps?q=http:%2F%2Fwww.azredistricting.org%2Fmaps%2Fpubmaps%2F100911%2FLeg-Merge_as_of_100911.kmz&hl=en&sll=34.168218,-111.930907&sspn=12.693328,26.784668&vpsrc=0&t=h&z=7

They reworked some parts of that. http://www.azredistricting.org/Maps/Tentative-Final-Maps/Legislative/maps/Tentative%20Final%20Legislative%20Map%20-%20Statewide.jpg

(add " - poster size" at the end of the address for a 140 million pixel version that may crash your computer)

I count 13 utterly safe GOP, 3 usually safe GOP (at least for now - the one in NE Phoenix might get competitive towards the decade's end), 3 tossups two of which tilt R, one D (and the tilt R in Pinal might be safe by decade's end), 2 usually safe Dem, 9 utterly safe Dem seats. After looking at their demographic and competitiveness charts.

[minionofmidas]

Gosar is switching to the 4th.

Good news for Kirkpatrick, since she won't be facing an incumbent.

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Lolsson.

[minionofmidas]

What do you mean, "now"? Is there any stunning news out of the state? Or are we still at january 9th news - in which case what happens is Gosar probably loses the primary instead of probably losing the general.

[minionofmidas]

Ron Gould must be happy.

[minionofmidas]

ballotpedia...

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