NY,PA,WI-CBS/YouGov: Sanders/Cruz in WI; Clinton/Trump in NY, Trump in PA (user search)
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  NY,PA,WI-CBS/YouGov: Sanders/Cruz in WI; Clinton/Trump in NY, Trump in PA (search mode)
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Author Topic: NY,PA,WI-CBS/YouGov: Sanders/Cruz in WI; Clinton/Trump in NY, Trump in PA  (Read 3863 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« on: April 03, 2016, 10:14:51 AM »
This is worrying for Sanders in Wisconsin. A close win won't do it in terms of delegate math (assuming he needs to catch up all the way in pledged to woo the supers). I think he needs a margin of around 15 points.

My prediction for NY is a 54-46 Clinton win and I see no reason to change that given the polling. But in terms of delegate math Sanders needs at least a 52-48 victory and should aim for 55-45.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: April 06, 2016, 12:09:44 AM »
With the WI results in - so much for YouGov having a "Bernie Bias".
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