2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2

[ajc0918]

Mike Espy raises $700,000 since RBG's passing.

https://twitter.com/MikeEspyMS/status/1308112217074798600?s=20

I'm curious how much the more high profile democratic senate candidates have raised.

[Splash]

Got some specific post-RBG fundraising #s for Senate Dems in this article, including:

- $3 million for Al Gross (AK)
- $6 million for Cunningham (NC)

https://twitter.com/ShaneGoldmacher/status/1308190200795983872

[Storr]

Mike Espy raises $700,000 since RBG's passing.

https://twitter.com/MikeEspyMS/status/1308112217074798600?s=20

I'm curious how much the more high profile democratic senate candidates have raised.

I appreciate that his campaign used the Confederate uniform Hyde Smith photo for that graphic.

[ajc0918]

Holy sh*t... $6 million for Cal in North Carolina in three days. Insane.

[Storr]

Holy sh*t... $6 million for Cal in North Carolina in three days. Insane.

And $3 million in Alaska I can only assume is enough to buy all ad slots from now until election day.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Holy sh*t... $6 million for Cal in North Carolina in three days. Insane.

And $3 million in Alaska I can only assume is enough to buy all ad slots from now until election day.

AK isn't as cheap as its small population would suggest. The geography, in particular that of the media markets, probably makes it pricier than the likes of KS/IA/ME/MT.

[ajc0918]

This is insane

https://twitter.com/shanegoldmacher/status/1308198252181946368?s=21

[VAR]

 IA GCB (Selzer & Co.)

Democratic 47% (nc)
Republican 45% (+3)

https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/7215236/IowaPollMethodologyTrumpBiden.pdf

[wbrocks67]

Civiqs tracker is stable thru 9/19, with Ds up 8, 51-43

https://civiqs.com/results/vote_house_generic_2020?uncertainty=true&annotations=true&zoomIn=true

9/21 update: Ds up to +9, 52-43

[Gracile]

DCCC will start ad spending in CO-03-

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1308416848287993857

[VAR]

DCCC ad reservations:

CO-03: $631k
MI-03: $570k
TX-23: $622k
TX-21/TX-23: $830k

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

I almost feel like the DCCC is selling themselves short in Texas by focusing so much on TX-23

[ltomlinson31]

Cook just made an extremely bold rating change:

https://twitter.com/JessicaTaylor/status/1308743604249268224

[Person Man]

Civiqs tracker is stable thru 9/19, with Ds up 8, 51-43

https://civiqs.com/results/vote_house_generic_2020?uncertainty=true&annotations=true&zoomIn=true

9/21 update: Ds up to +9, 52-43

This could even go up more if Trump starts catching up or pulling ahead.

[Roll Roons]

Cook just made an extremely bold ratings change:

https://twitter.com/JessicaTaylor/status/1308743604249268224

Long overdue.

[wbrocks67]

YouGov has Ds +7 with RV on the GCB this week, but +4 among "likely voters"

These wild swings with LV makes me wonder if pollsters are really screwing up this year in terms of what they think the electorate is going to be, possibly thinking it'll be more like 2016 than 2018

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/b8ow3q7r1e/econTabReport.pdf

[Xing]

Cook just made an extremely bold rating change:

https://twitter.com/JessicaTaylor/status/1308743604249268224

I dunno man, this seems really risky, are they sure that they're factoring in Gardner's Incumbency™?

[Ferguson97]

Cook just made an extremely bold rating change:

https://twitter.com/JessicaTaylor/status/1308743604249268224

It's been Likely Dem since Trump won in 2016. It's ridiculous that it was considered a tossup for so long.

[wbrocks67]

F&M poll has GCB at D+6 for PA, up from +3 in their last poll

https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/74868762207802954-f-m-poll-release-september-2020.pdf

[VAR]

Congressional Leadership Fund is launching a $2 million ad campaign against Ron Kind (D-WI-03).

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/09/24/gop-super-pac-campaign-ron-kind-420897

[wbrocks67]

Congressional Leadership Fund is launching a $2 million ad campaign against Ron Kind (D-WI-03).

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/09/24/gop-super-pac-campaign-ron-kind-420897

This is some VA-10 nonsense

[lfromnj]

Congressional Leadership Fund is launching a $2 million ad campaign against Ron Kind (D-WI-03).

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/09/24/gop-super-pac-campaign-ron-kind-420897

This is some VA-10 nonsense

Yes a district Trump carried by 5 points is the same as a double digit Clinton district

[wbrocks67]

Congressional Leadership Fund is launching a $2 million ad campaign against Ron Kind (D-WI-03).

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/09/24/gop-super-pac-campaign-ron-kind-420897

This is some VA-10 nonsense

Yes a district Trump carried by 5 points is the same as a double digit Clinton district

Kind won by nearly 20% in 2018.

[scutosaurus]

https://twitter.com/LuluForTexas/status/1309478920862003200
Lulu got added to Red to Blue! Cue Jeb.

[Xing]

Congressional Leadership Fund is launching a $2 million ad campaign against Ron Kind (D-WI-03).

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/09/24/gop-super-pac-campaign-ron-kind-420897

This is some VA-10 nonsense

Yes a district Trump carried by 5 points is the same as a double digit Clinton district

Yeah, while I doubt they'll win WI-03 this year, it makes more sense for them to target seats like this than Democratic-trending seats that Clinton won by 5-10% or more, even if the House margin was closer in 2018 (which is an apples to oranges comparison anyway.)