2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[Gass3268]

GOP poll has IL-14 as a tie:

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Source

This is on my list of potential upsets.

Roskam is beyond gone if IL-14 is this close.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

North Carolina (Meredith):
Democrats 49
Republicans 38
Others 3

State legislature generic ballot is similar:
Democrats 48
Republicans 38
Others 3

https://www.meredith.edu/assets/images/content/Meredith_College_Final_Poll_Report_October_2018.pdf#page15

Those are jaw-dropping numbers.

[scutosaurus]

North Carolina (Meredith):
Democrats 49
Republicans 38
Others 3

State legislature generic ballot is similar:
Democrats 48
Republicans 38
Others 3

https://www.meredith.edu/assets/images/content/Meredith_College_Final_Poll_Report_October_2018.pdf#page15

PLEASE be true. There is no other party - national, state, or local - that I'd rather see get crushed than the North Carolina GOP.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

PLEASE be true. There is no other party - national, state, or local - that I'd rather see get crushed than the North Carolina GOP.

If there is one state party that really needs to be checked, it is the NC GOP.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

PLEASE be true. There is no other party - national, state, or local - that I'd rather see get crushed than the North Carolina GOP.

If there is one state party that really needs to be checked, it is the NC GOP.

I actually think Kentucky's is worse.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

PLEASE be true. There is no other party - national, state, or local - that I'd rather see get crushed than the North Carolina GOP.

If there is one state party that really needs to be checked, it is the NC GOP.

I actually think Kentucky's is worse.

PA is bad as well.

[Zaybay]

https://www.emerson.edu/news-events/emerson-college-today/emerson-poll-west-virginia-senate-race-tightens-texas-senate-race-remains-close-republicans-look-hold-three-house-seats-wv

West Virginia US Congress District 1

MM, LV, Oct 28-31, n=341, +/-5.5%

David McKinley (R-Inc) 57%, Kendra Fershee (D) 32%, 11% undecided

West Virginia US Congress District 2

MM, LV, Oct 28-31, n=344, +/-5.5%

Alexander Mooney (R-Inc) 47%, Talley Sergent (D) 39%, 10% undecided

West Virginia US Congress District 3

MM, LV, Oct 28-31, n=328, +/-5.5%

Carol Miller (R) 52%, Richard Ojeda (D) 45%, 3% undecided

Morrisey and Miller primed for the win.

I seriously am surprised you havent been kicked off the Congressional board at this point. At this point, you're just another Limo.

I didn't know that being a disciple of the bluenami cult was a requirement for being permitted on the congressional board.
Half of Bagel's statement is objectively true, Miller is favored to win. The other half is an embellishment, but it's certainly a slim possibility that Morrisey could win. Honestly, Bagel's concern trolling is usually about as tolerable and reasonable if not more so than your hackery.

I dont dispute every single poll that is shown, and I was clearly talking about Morrisey, not Miller.

[Virginiá]

Other states have their own issues, but the NCGOP is by far the worst in terms of an out-of-control majority party.

[Zaybay]

I will say, if what is shown is true, its rather possible that maybe, just maybe, one chamber is taken.

[OneJ]

GOP poll has IL-14 as a tie:

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Source

 

[Gass3268]

OH-GCB:

Democrats 46%
Republicans 45%

Cygnal (R)

This is a R+4 sample too.

[libertpaulian]

OH-GCB:

Democrats 46%
Republicans 45%

Cygnal (R)

This is a R+4 sample too.

May be enough to push Danny O'Connor over the top.

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/1057972688566784001

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Other Susquehanna PA house polls:

PA-09
Meuser 57%
Wolff 36%

https://media.pahomepage.com/nxsglobal/pahomepage/document_dev/2018/10/30/Meuser%20Wolff%20Poll_1540945552077_60744450_ver1.0.pdf

PA-13
Joyce 57%
Ottaway 36%

https://media.abc27.com/nxs-whtmtv-media-us-east-1/document_dev/2018/10/31/Toplines-PACD13-ABC27-SPR_1541011985639_60814753_ver1.0.pdf

[Doimper]

Other Susquehanna PA house polls:

PA-09
Meuser 57%
Wolff 36%

https://media.pahomepage.com/nxsglobal/pahomepage/document_dev/2018/10/30/Meuser%20Wolff%20Poll_1540945552077_60744450_ver1.0.pdf

PA-13
Joyce 57%
Ottaway 36%

https://media.abc27.com/nxs-whtmtv-media-us-east-1/document_dev/2018/10/31/Toplines-PACD13-ABC27-SPR_1541011985639_60814753_ver1.0.pdf

No surprises here.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

NM (Carroll Strategies):

District 1: Dem up 51-43
District 2: GOP up 47-42
District 3: Dem up 57-33

https://www.kob.com/kobtvimages/repository/cs/files/Poll%20Results.pdf

[wbrocks67]

NPR/Marist, Oct. 28-29, 822 RV including 509 LV (1-week change)

RV: D 50 (nc), R 44 (+4)

LV (no priors): D 52, R 43

This also has Ds only up 6 with 18-29 year olds so...

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/AlyseGalvin/status/1058117114677014528

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

OH-GCB:

Democrats 46%
Republicans 45%

Cygnal (R)

This is a R+4 sample too.

That is a pathetic margin considering the national GCB.

[OneJ]

https://twitter.com/AlyseGalvin/status/1058117114677014528

Looks too good to be true honestly just like the poll that had Bad Boy Begich up.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

https://twitter.com/AlyseGalvin/status/1058117114677014528

Looks too good to be true honestly just like the poll that had Bad Boy Begich up.

The fact that we are getting too-good-to-be-true-seeming polls like this and the PA-16 one is a very good indication for Dems going into the election.

[Comrade Funk]

I can't wait 'til this is over so we can move on to pointless discussions about 2020.

[Hindsight was 2020]

I can't wait 'til this is over so we can move on to pointless discussions about 2020.

It never ends

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

OH-GCB:

Democrats 46%
Republicans 45%

Cygnal (R)

This is a R+4 sample too.

That seems like a fantastic result for Dems since the OH congressional margin in 2016 was R+16 (though it was only R+4 in 2012).

[Gass3268]

VA-10 (Washington Post-Schar School Poll):

Wexton 54 (-2%)
Comstock 43 (+/-)

Kaine 58%
Confederate Corey 39%

Source