Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Sestak]

Once again, we haven't seen an image of the ballot in FL-24, which is the problem area.

All of Broward has a larger dropoff than everywhere else. Not just the FL-24 area - that's just where it was most extreme.

[fldemfunds]

Once again, we haven't seen an image of the ballot in FL-24, which is the problem area.

https://twitter.com/NewsbySmiley/status/1060571314749128704/photo/1

Yes, we do.

[Sestak]

Once again, we haven't seen an image of the ballot in FL-24, which is the problem area.

https://twitter.com/NewsbySmiley/status/1060571314749128704/photo/1

Yes, we do.

that's FL-23

[RI]

Once again, we haven't seen an image of the ballot in FL-24, which is the problem area.

https://twitter.com/NewsbySmiley/status/1060571314749128704/photo/1

Yes, we do.

No, that has Debbie Wasserman Schultz on the ballot.

[7,052,770]

Once again, we haven't seen an image of the ballot in FL-24, which is the problem area.

There's almost no way that the ballot design could be so uniquely terrible to explain such a vast difference not seen in any other county/district combo.

[fldemfunds]

Once again, we haven't seen an image of the ballot in FL-24, which is the problem area.

There's almost no way that the ballot design could be so uniquely terrible to explain such a vast difference not seen in any other county/district combo.

[Sestak]

Once again, we haven't seen an image of the ballot in FL-24, which is the problem area.

There's almost no way that the ballot design could be so uniquely terrible to explain such a vast difference not seen in any other county/district combo.

...unless the design also caused an offset that ed with the machines.

[fldemfunds]

^Additionally, the Senate race is located in the same position as that image. Whether DWS or another race is in the congressional spot doesn't change the layout itself.

[RI]

Once again, we haven't seen an image of the ballot in FL-24, which is the problem area.

All of Broward has a larger dropoff than everywhere else. Not just the FL-24 area - that's just where it was most extreme.

In FL-24, there's a 10% dropoff in total votes between Gov and Sen. This is 3.6% in FL-20 and FL-22 and 2.8% in FL-23.

[Sestak]

Once again, we haven't seen an image of the ballot in FL-24, which is the problem area.

All of Broward has a larger dropoff than everywhere else. Not just the FL-24 area - that's just where it was most extreme.

In FL-24, there's a 10% dropoff in total votes between Gov and Sen. This is 3.6% in FL-20 and FL-22 and 2.8% in FL-23.

...and under 1% in every other county in Florida.

[Thatkat04]

I mean, theres not much reason to debate it. Nelson is getting a hand recount so we'll find out one way or the other.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/burgessev/status/1060664398862303232

This is where we are right now in the senate expectations game.

[The Free North]

https://twitter.com/NewsbySmiley/status/1060571314749128704

Here's a link to one of the ballots that are being scrutinized because of the placement of the senate race.

That doesnt look that egregious to be honest. There are multiple options on the left panel to vote for an I would assume most people who take the time to vote also take the time to read the whole ballot.

[RI]

Once again, we haven't seen an image of the ballot in FL-24, which is the problem area.

All of Broward has a larger dropoff than everywhere else. Not just the FL-24 area - that's just where it was most extreme.

In FL-24, there's a 10% dropoff in total votes between Gov and Sen. This is 3.6% in FL-20 and FL-22 and 2.8% in FL-23.

...and under 1% in every other county in Florida.

If you want to go that route, then correcting the total Broward error likely benefits Scott, not Nelson.

[Sestak]

https://twitter.com/NewsbySmiley/status/1060571314749128704

Here's a link to one of the ballots that are being scrutinized because of the placement of the senate race.

That doesnt look that egregious to be honest. There are multiple options on the left panel to vote for an I would assume most people who take the time to vote also take the time to read the whole ballot.

Yes, again, I think there is a machine issue here.

[Sestak]

Once again, we haven't seen an image of the ballot in FL-24, which is the problem area.

All of Broward has a larger dropoff than everywhere else. Not just the FL-24 area - that's just where it was most extreme.

In FL-24, there's a 10% dropoff in total votes between Gov and Sen. This is 3.6% in FL-20 and FL-22 and 2.8% in FL-23.

...and under 1% in every other county in Florida.

If you want to go that route, then correcting the total Broward error likely benefits Scott, not Nelson.

What makes you say that?

[The Free North]

https://twitter.com/burgessev/status/1060664398862303232

This is where we are right now in the senate expectations game.

Sounds pretty much par for the course for a 1) a very tight race and 2) a race initially thought to be 'over' that then got thrown into recount hell.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Once again, we haven't seen an image of the ballot in FL-24, which is the problem area.

All of Broward has a larger dropoff than everywhere else. Not just the FL-24 area - that's just where it was most extreme.

In FL-24, there's a 10% dropoff in total votes between Gov and Sen. This is 3.6% in FL-20 and FL-22 and 2.8% in FL-23.

...and under 1% in every other county in Florida.

If you want to go that route, then correcting the total Broward error likely benefits Scott, not Nelson.

Broward is the most Democratic county in Florida depending on how black turnout is in Gadsen County.

[RI]

Once again, we haven't seen an image of the ballot in FL-24, which is the problem area.

All of Broward has a larger dropoff than everywhere else. Not just the FL-24 area - that's just where it was most extreme.

In FL-24, there's a 10% dropoff in total votes between Gov and Sen. This is 3.6% in FL-20 and FL-22 and 2.8% in FL-23.

...and under 1% in every other county in Florida.

If you want to go that route, then correcting the total Broward error likely benefits Scott, not Nelson.

What makes you say that?

Scott had more undervotes countywide than Nelson, especially in FL-22 and FL-23.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

I keep hearing the name "Debbie Wasserman-Schultz" coming up in this discussion, so I blame her for all of this.

[Sestak]

Once again, we haven't seen an image of the ballot in FL-24, which is the problem area.

All of Broward has a larger dropoff than everywhere else. Not just the FL-24 area - that's just where it was most extreme.

In FL-24, there's a 10% dropoff in total votes between Gov and Sen. This is 3.6% in FL-20 and FL-22 and 2.8% in FL-23.

...and under 1% in every other county in Florida.

If you want to go that route, then correcting the total Broward error likely benefits Scott, not Nelson.

What makes you say that?

Scott had more undervotes countywide than Nelson, especially in FL-22 and FL-23.

wait, we know the Governor vote composition of the undervotes?

Or did you just mean Scott trailed DeSantis by more? Because DeSantis is just outrunning Scott everywhere.

[Panda Express]

Anyone who has watched Arizona before knows that McSally is basically done for once the rest comes in.

[Skye]

FL is going to give me a stroke.

[KingSweden]

FL is going to give me a stroke.

[Gass3268]

Number to remember on Florida:

https://twitter.com/electionsmith/status/1060670488639348739