New Tradesports rankings

[Boris]

Obama leads Clinton on last transaction 38.4 to 38.0.

Tradesports people are idiots. Where exactly is Obama ahead? He's even with Clinton in Iowa and trailing her in New Hampshire, Nevada, and probably South Carolina (polls seem to be all over the place). And then he's down by double digits throughout the rest of nation with the exception of Illinois.

But then again, given the Gore and Paul numbers, I guess this shouldn't be that much of a surprise.

[poughies]

Somebody would be smart to BUY BUY BUY BUY Clinton.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Okay, so I used my $110 left over from the 2006 election (originally $100) to make some trades.

I bought and now hold 10 of Romney to win the GOP nomination at 17.6.  I feel his odds are much stronger.

I also sold 10 of GOP to win Sununu's Senate Seat at 55.0.  LOL.

And, I sold 5 shares of "Gore to run in '08" for 18.  I'd have sold the last 4 shares sitting in the bid at 18 if I had the money.  The odds of Gore running in 2008 are abysmal.  18% is a pipe dream.

[Eraserhead]

Bad polling on the way for Clinton perhaps?

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Bad polling on the way for Clinton perhaps?

I doubt there's any amount of insider trading going on at Tradesports.  It's gotta be based on Obama's strong fundraising quarter.

[Eraserhead]

Bad polling on the way for Clinton perhaps?

I doubt there's any amount of insider trading going on at Tradesports.  It's gotta be based on Obama's strong fundraising quarter.

I'm sure it mostly is but you never know...

[Likely Voter]

I now own clinton for nom and overall win, Romney for nom

thinking of buying some mccain to dropout by dec. if only they had a 'by jan31' when I am sure he is gone. 

that thing is addictive though


I think we should form an 'Atlas Forum' mutual fund with the combined punditry here

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

I think we should form an 'Atlas Forum' mutual fund with the combined punditry here

I don't even know if you really need that -- anyone with an above average and unbiased knowledge of politics should do perfectly fine: there are usually two or three opportunities at all times to take advantage of people who know nothing but red state/blue state.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Massive drop in Clinton, with a corresponding rise in Obama. I think he hit a record high of 38.5 the other day. Richardson drops a bit.

Thompson and Romney both drop.  McCain slightly recovers. Paul goes down to more reasonable levels.  The minor Republicans have a fair amount of movement; Brownback tanks, Tancredo doubles.  No bid for Powell.

Democrats
Clinton 40.9
Obama 37.5
Gore 8.9
Edwards 5.6
Richardson 1.8
Clark 0.7
Biden 0.6
Dodd 0.4
Kerry 0.3


Republicans
Giuliani 36.0
Thompson 34.7
Romney 17.0
McCain 5.0
Paul 2.8
Gingrich 2.3
Huckabee 0.9
J. Bush 0.6
Rice 0.5
Hagel 0.4
Cheney 0.4
Tancredo 0.4
Bloomberg 0.3
T. Thompson 0.2
Brownback 0.1
Hunter 0.1

[Reaganfan]

Romney's the one hurting McCain...damn!!

[minionofmidas]

Wow. These things have changed since I last checked. And seem to be depicting reality much more closely now.

[CARLHAYDEN]

Romney's the one hurting McCain...damn!!

Correction.

McCain is the one hurting McCain.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Clinton recovers a bit. However, Obama also increases, and is near his record high. Gore goes down.

Romney goes down to what appears to be a several week low.  Huckabee almost doubles.

Democrats
Clinton 42.5
Obama 38.8
Gore 7.1
Edwards 5.8
Richardson 1.8
Clark 0.7
Biden 0.6
Dodd 0.4
Kerry 0.3
Warner 0.1


Republicans
Giuliani 36.2
Thompson 34.5
Romney 15.9
McCain 5.0
Paul 2.5
Gingrich 2.3
Huckabee 1.6
J. Bush 0.6
Hagel 0.6
Rice 0.5
Cheney 0.4
Tancredo 0.4
Bloomberg 0.3
T. Thompson 0.2
Brownback 0.1
Hunter 0.1

[Verily]

Why is Bloomberg still included in the GOP nominee market?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Clinton up, Edwards down.

Thompson up, Giuliani down.  Gingrich gains, some other minor candidates tend to slide a bit. Brownback gains.

Democrats
Clinton 43.8
Obama 38.7
Gore 6.7
Edwards 5.1
Richardson 1.8
Clark 0.7
Biden 0.5
Dodd 0.4
Kerry 0.2
Warner 0.1


Republicans
Thompson 35.7
Giuliani 35.4
Romney 15.5
McCain 4.7
Gingrich 3.8
Paul 2.4
Huckabee 1.2
J. Bush 0.6
Hagel 0.6
Rice 0.6
Cheney 0.4
Tancredo 0.4
Bloomberg 0.3
Brownback 0.3
T. Thompson 0.2
Hunter 0.2

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Gore is finally starting to tank.

Why is Bloomberg still included in the GOP nominee market?

Because some idiots have bought stock of him and haven't been able to sell it (I wonder why?)

I find it amusing that 5 people who aren't running are ahead of Brownback.

[Eraserhead]

Gore is finally starting to tank.

Why is Bloomberg still included in the GOP nominee market?

Because some idiots have bought stock of him and haven't been able to sell it (I wonder why?)

I find it amusing that 5 people who aren't running are ahead of Brownback.

It's because "Live Earth" sucked.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Actually it probably has more to do with that he's not running and people are finally starting to realize that.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Ha, McCain is tied with Paul.

[Sam Spade]

I feel sorry for those people who bought while McCain was at 50 in December 2006.




Nah, I really don't.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Clinton up. Gore drops a bit and Edwards gains, Edwards could take 3rd place soon.

Huge surge for Giuliani. He is close to his record high, and is now significantly ahead of Thompson. Romney recovers a bit. McCain has tanked so much that he actually went up to 4 in the last couple of hours.  Gingrich goes down. Minor candidates go down.

Democrats
Clinton 45.0
Obama 38.0
Gore 6.0
Edwards 5.5
Richardson 1.9
Clark 0.7
Biden 0.5
Dodd 0.4
Kerry 0.2
Warner 0.1


Republicans
Giuliani 40.0
Thompson 35.5
Romney 18.0
McCain 4.0
Paul 2.6
Gingrich 2.3
Huckabee 1.4
Hagel 0.7
J. Bush 0.5
Tancredo 0.3
Cheney 0.3
Rice 0.3
Bloomberg 0.2
T. Thompson 0.2
Hunter 0.1
Brownback 0.1

[jimrtex]

Why is Bloomberg still included in the GOP nominee market?

I doubt there is any way to cancel a contract.  There are actually more bids on Bllomberg than any other candidate, but it represents a small amount of money (2373 at 0.2) would cost $47.46 and return $23,730.

[Mr. Morden]

With Gore finally receding somewhat, Bloomberg has surpassed him in the "winning individual" market, and he's now rated as the 6th most likely person to win the general election:

Clinton 27.0
Obama 23.0
Thomspon 18.4
Giuliani 18.2
Romney 8.0
Bloomberg 4.3
Gore 4.0
Edwards 3.9
McCain 3.3

Also, Gore's chances of running are now rated at 22%, while Bloomberg's chances of running are at 45%.

[Eraserhead]

With Gore finally receding somewhat, Bloomberg has surpassed him in the "winning individual" market, and he's now rated as the 6th most likely person to win the general election:

Clinton 27.0
Obama 23.0
Thomspon 18.4
Giuliani 18.2
Romney 8.0
Bloomberg 4.3
Gore 4.0
Edwards 3.9
McCain 3.3

Also, Gore's chances of running are now rated at 22%, while Bloomberg's chances of running are at 45%.

Only 45% for Bloomberg? Strange. It seems pretty clear he is going to run.

[Mr. Morden]

Really?  I think he's just keeping his options open.  He doesn't have to decide for a while yet.  I still think Bloomberg is smart enough to know that even with his $ advantage, a 3rd party candidate faces long odds at winning.  I think there's a decent chance he'll conclude that his chances of winning aren't that great, so why put himself through a national campaign?