Oklahoma (Cygnal): Trump +30

[wbrocks67]

Trump (R) 61%
Biden (D) 30%

(with rounding it's Trump +30.4)

https://www.cygn.al/statewide-poll-oklahomans-say-education-is-a-top-priority-support-career-pathways-and-oppose-minimum-wage-hikes-and-foreign-land-ownership/

Trump 65-32 in 2020

[Rand]

Tulsa Gabbard approves.

[GAinDC]

Woof

[Matty]

Biden probably wins Oklahoma county in this scenario

[Skill and Chance]

Biden probably wins Oklahoma county in this scenario

I think we've reached the point where there isn't anyone left for R's to flip in Oklahoma, and possibly in all the Plains states.  I do expect these states to trend left over the decade, but most likely very gradually.  Kansas might reasonably be a presidential swing state in the 2030's.

[kwabbit]

Biden probably wins Oklahoma county in this scenario

I think we've reached the point where there isn't anyone left for R's to flip in Oklahoma, and possibly in all the Plains states.  I do expect these states to trend left over the decade, but most likely very gradually.  Kansas might reasonably be a presidential swing state in the 2030's.

Kansas will not become a swing state. It might trend to the edge of competitiveness, like Iowa level, but the ingredients are just not there for it to become a swing state. Too White and not educated enough. It's slightly above average education rate has pulled it leftwards in a political environment increasingly polarized around education, but every other demographic indicator points to it being a red state.