Political Ad Megathread

[Likely Voter]

1) Corporate Welfare King is a :30 second ad talking about Rubio's ties to Big Sugar.  According to the ad, Rubio practices pay-to-pay corporate welfare like Hillary Clinton.

Anyone else get a weird Marco=cocaine dealer undertone from this one. The imagery. The 'make it snow' big letters, and of course being a Cuban from Florida has that Tony Montana thing...all of which is ironic as the attack is coming from a PAC supporting a different Cuban

[seb_pard]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6XXEHZsAkR0

Tenemos familias-Bernie Sanders

His best ad (well, actually a mini documentary), by far.

[cinyc]

John Kasich released an Ohio-specific ad today, in a :15 second and :30 second format:

-In Rise (:15, :30), Kasich turns about how "we" turned Ohio around, challenged the old way of doing business, created jobs, delivered the nation's largest tax cut, balanced the budget and showed America how it's done.

[cinyc]

The Cruz campaign released two new ads today:

-In the :30 second Looking Out, Cruz contrasts Trump's record of supporting Planned Parenthood, government funded healthcare and letting illegal aliens take our jobs, with Cruz's looking out for "us" and "our jobs."
-In the :30 second Always Has, Cruz argues that only one candidate has a record of defending our freedom and Supreme Court victories, and can be trusted to defend our rights and protect the constitution (Cruz, of course).

[cinyc]

Donald Trump and Club for Growth both released two ads this evening:

Trump's two ads attack Rubio on ethics grounds:
-In the :30 second Keep Marco and his friends out of the White House, Trump slams Rubio for the sins of his unethical friends from his Speaker of the House days who have been spotted on the campaign trail with Rubio.
-In the :30 second Marco Rubio - Another Dishonest Politician, Trump attacks Rubio for allegedly blackmailing Jackson Hospital to hire him as a consultant in order to get money in the state budget.

Club for Growth released two :15 second Anti-Trump ads:
-In "Trump or Consequences" Jobs, Club for Growth attacks Trump for declaring bankruptcy, causing people to lose their jobs.
-In "Trump or Consequences" Obamacare, Club for Growth slams Trump for claiming he opposes Obamacare while supporting its government mandate.

In other news, Keep the Promise 1 seems to have quietly vanished its recently released 5 anti-Rubio ads from the main and uploads page of their YouTube channel.  The links to those ads still seem to work, but they're not featured on their YouTube page any more.  It's likely that the ads never made it on the TV airwaves, as I don't see any recent buys from Keep the Promise in the Florida TV stations' FCC political files that I checked.

[cinyc]

The ad is not on YouTube yet, but pro-Rubio Conservative Solutions PAC is reportedly spending $1 million in Florida and $268,000 in Illinois to run the following :30 second anti-Kasich ad:

The Basics on John Kasich: More Spending, More Taxes, which attacks John Kasich for increasing spending and taxes and backing Obamacare's medicare expansion in Ohio.

Edit: YouTube link here.

[cinyc]

A whole slew of ads have been released in the past two days as the ad war ramps up in anticipation of next Tuesday's vote:

-The Trump campaign released John Kasich - All Talk No Action Politician, a :30 second Ohio-specific ad which attacks John Kasich for his Leman Brothers' ties, being an absentee governor, spending too much time on the campaign trail, expanding Obamacare and increasing the Ohio budget.  It ends "We don't need him in Ohio.  And we certainly don't need him in Washington.  John Kasich.  Just another all talk no action politician."

-Pro-Romney Conservative Solutions PAC released two :30 ads:
1) In Florida-specific Closest, the PAC argues that because Rubio is closest to beating Trump in Florida, a vote for Kasich or Cruz is a vote for Trump. 
2) Orgullo (Pride) features lines from Rubio's stump speech in Spanish, and three supporters extolling Rubio's virtues in Spanish.  As far as I know, Conservative Solutions PAC is the only PAC advertising on Spanish-language TV.

-Pro-Cruz Stand for Truth PAC released Threat, a :30 second anti-Rubio attack ad tying his support for the Gang of 8 to criminals in sanctuary cities.

-Pro-Cruz Courageous Conservatives PAC Catina's Story features a former Trump supporter who didn't even vote in Virginia after attending a Trump rally and getting disgusted.  She's now for Cruz.  It's not clear if this will get any TV airtime.  It's a 1:00 minute ad, and Courageous Conservatives PAC isn't a big player in the ad wars.

-Anti-Trump Our Principles PAC came out with three ads slamming Trump, all :30 seconds:
1) Outsourcer uses footage from the Late Show with David Letterman to illustrate that Trump outsourced his fashion line.
2) Fraud outlines Trump's alleged Florida real estate scam involving Trump Tower Tampa.  Trump allegedly received millions in licensing fees to put his name on a building that never got built.
3) Success details facts of the Trump University "scam".

-American Future Fund put out 2 anti-Trump ads, one in :30 and :60 versions.
1) Cliff (:30, :60) tells the story of one of the salesmen for Trump University who would cold call people who went to Trump's free seminars to get them to buy courses run by unqualified people.  He's ashamed to have worked there and walked away because he thought it would be easier to sleep at night.  He doesn't trust Trump.
2) Trump Always Puts Himself Ahead of the American People is a :30 second ad arguing that Trump is not a man of the people because he ripped off people with a fake college, evicted someone using eminent domain, and hired illegals, paying them off the books.

[cinyc]

There are three new PAC ads on YouTube, although I'm not sure if one of them is a TV ad:

-Anti-Trump American Future Fund released a :17 second ad Two Trumps, which features Trump saying perhaps there are two Donald Trumps, then saying I don't think there are two Donald Trumps at the same press conference.  I'm not sure if this is a :15 second TV ad or just a web ad.

-Anti-Trump Our Principles PAC released the 1:00 minute Unifier, which details violence at Trump campaign rallies and Trump's campaign manager's alleged assault of a reporter.  It ends "Donald Trump is too reckless and dangerous to be President."

-Pro-Kasich New Day for America released the Ohio-specific :30 second Hinge, hitting back on the Trump attack ad on Kasich.  It argues that the Trump ad is full of "unhinged, bold-faced lies" because Kasich, among other things, created jobs and cut the state budget.

[Likely Voter]

Trump had to pull his antiKasich OH ad due to improper disclosure.

[bagelman]

There are three new PAC ads on YouTube, although I'm not sure if one of them is a TV ad:

-Anti-Trump American Future Fund released a :17 second ad Two Trumps, which features Trump saying perhaps there are two Donald Trumps, then saying I don't think there are two Donald Trumps at the same press conference.  I'm not sure if this is a :15 second TV ad or just a web ad.

-Anti-Trump Our Principles PAC released the 1:00 minute Unifier, which details violence at Trump campaign rallies and Trump's campaign manager's alleged assault of a reporter.  It ends "Donald Trump is too reckless and dangerous to be President."

-Pro-Kasich New Day for America released the Ohio-specific :30 second Hinge, hitting back on the Trump attack ad on Kasich.  It argues that the Trump ad is full of "unhinged, bold-faced lies" because Kasich, among other things, created jobs and cut the state budget.

the link to hinge goes to unifier

Has Romney done anything in Ohio to encourage people here to vote Kasich over Rubio?

[cinyc]

the link to hinge goes to unifier

Fixed.  It's also here.

Trump had to pull his antiKasich OH ad due to improper disclosure.

Improper disclosure of what?  Did Kasich claim they got the facts wrong, or was his candidate approval statement somehow too short?

Edit: I see what's wrong with it.  The oral candidate approval statement can be at the beginning of the ad, but the paid for by Trump, approved by Trump written disclaimer at the start of the ad has to appear at the end of the ad for at least 4 seconds.  It also seems to be on screen for less than 4 seconds.

Trump's two anti-Rubio :30 second ads have the same problem (but the 1:00 minute ad does not).

[cinyc]

One new 1:00 minute ad from anti-Trump Our Principles PAC:

In Quotes, women read some of the misogynistic things Trump has said about women in the past.

[cinyc]

Two days ago, Club for Growth released the :30 second A Vote for Trump... (Trapped by Trump), argKauing that Trump is unelectable in the general election and could lead to Republicans losing the Senate, and a liberal Supreme Court for a generation.

[cinyc]

The ad buys for next week's states, Utah and Arizona, are starting to come into the stations' FCC political files.  All of Utah is in the Salt Lake City market, making it easy to track.  Arizona is split between 3 in-state markets (Phoenix, Tucson, Yuma), with a small part of the state (northern Apache County) in the Albuquerque market.

So far, Ted Cruz and John Kasich have made Utah ad buys.  Trump has not.  According to his approximately $52,000 KSL-TV ad buy, Kasich is spending almost $175,000 in the market.  Cruz's KSL-TV ad buy is currently smaller than Kasich's - about $37,000 for 77 spots over the next week, compared to Kasich's $52,000 buy for 166 spots.  Kasich is buying much more cheap daytime TV than Cruz, while some of Cruz's buy is for prime time spots.  

Cruz's KSL-TV contract didn't include competitive market data, so it's not clear if Cruz is spending less than Kasich on all other Utah TV stations, too.  Cruz is outspending Kasich $44,895 to $5,600 on ABC affiliate KTVX so far.  Cruz filings for Salt Lake City's CBS and Fox affiliates are not in the stations' political files yet.

Bernie Sanders is also up on KSL-TV, and is spending almost $95,000 statewide on :30 second spots and almost $56,000 on 1:00 spots.  

There are no Clinton or SuperPAC filings for KSL-TV yet.  However, anti-Trump Club For Growth has made a $92,000 Utah ad buy according to filings from KTVX.

Clinton and Sanders are also up in Tucson and Phoenix.  Cruz seems to have canceled a buy on KVOA in Tucson, though it's not clear whether the campaign will substitute another buy yet.  Trump and Kasich aren't up at all in Arizona so far.

[Young Conservative]

I love this thread thank you for it

[cinyc]

Club For Growth released a :30 second ad today, Trump will betray us on healthcare., which compares Trump's position on healthcare with Hillary Clinton's, and tells voters to "ask Donald Trump why he sides with Hillary Clinton and why he wants more government health care."

[cinyc]

Three new ads have been released so far today, two from Cruz and one from Kasich's New Day for America PAC:

The Cruz campaign released the following two ads, one of which has :30 second and 1:30 second versons:
-In the Utah-specific :30 Second Lee, Utah Senator Mike Lee explains why he supports Cruz - he promised he would stand up to an overbearing federal government, fight Obamacare, stand up for the second amendment and fight for religious liberty - and has kept those promises.
-In Grant (:30, 1:30), a father whose son, Grant, was shot to death working at an Arizona convenience store by an illegal alien who wasn't deported on time due to Obama's executive action causing a lag in deportations, endorses Cruz because he trusts he will tear up Obama's illegal executive actions on immigration.

Pro-Kasich PAC New Day for America released Win, which argues that voters in Ohio took the first step to defeat Hillary Clinton, as John Kasich is the only one beating her in the polls and is presidential.

[cinyc]

I haven't paid much attention to the Democrats' YouTube TV ads thus far.  Bernie Sanders' YouTube page is barely active, with only 4 new videos over the past 3 weeks.

Hillary Clinton has released a few TV ads on her YouTube page in the past three weeks:
1) The 1:00 minute Real Life features famous Hollywood actresses who play strong women on TV saying that the real world has Hillary Clinton, a bona-fide, rolls up her sleeve champion for all of us.  They're with Hillary.
2) The :30 second Gabby from about 2 weeks ago features former Congresswoman Gabby Giffords endorsing Hillary Clinton because she's tough and will stand up to the gun lobby.
3) The :30 second The Letter from South Carolina about 3 weeks ago features the mayor of Columbia, SC endorsing Hillary because he wrote an open letter to his daughters explaining why he is spending so much time fighting for Hillary Clinton - she'll get equal pay for women, make college more affordable, beat the Republicans and fight for an America where all of our sons and daughters have the chance to reach their God-given potential.
4) The Morgan Freeman-narrated :30 second Stand, also from about 3 weeks ago, argues that Clinton stands with the mothers of police violence, speaks for Flint and stands with the President against those who would undo his achievements.
5) The Morgan Freeman-narrated 1:00 minute All the Good is a biographical ad detailing Clinton's past fight for the minority rights and legal aid explains how she has and will break barriers.  It is also from 3 weeks ago.

I'm not going to go back further - but Clinton's earlier ads are on her YouTube channel if you want to see them.

[IceSpear]

Is she airing the Gabby ad in AZ?

[cinyc]

Is she airing the Gabby ad in AZ?

It's from 2 weeks ago, but I would think Clinton would be.  She certainly should be running it in the Tucson market, at least.  I have no way of knowing for sure, though.

[Likely Voter]

The Gifford ad is running in az

[cinyc]

The Arizona ad wars are really starting to heat up on the Republican side, with Trump and the new pro-Cruz Trusted Leadership PAC going on-air in Phoenix.  Tucson Trump ad buys are also starting to show up in the political files.

According to the CBS5 Phoenix filings, here's what the candidates/PACs are spending in the Phoenix market so far:
Trump $201,759
Trusted Leadership PAC $360,911

Clinton $146,718 (:30 second ads) + $138,093 (:60 second ads) = $284,182
Sanders $420,867 (:30 second ads) + $165,281 (:60 second ads) = $585,968

In the Tucson market, we only have marketwide breakdowns for Clinton and Sanders, courtesy of the KOLD-TV (CBS) filings:
Clinton $32,903 (:30 second ads) + $32,774 (:60 second dads) = $65,677
Sanders $141,361 (:30 second ads) + $92,210 (:60 secon ads) = $233,571

So far in Tucson, Trump is spending $10,480 for 58 spots on KGUN (ABC) and $2,275 for 28 spots on KMSB (FOX).  There is nothing in the Tucson political files for Cruz or any Cruz PAC yet.

Nobody is advertising on Yuma TV.

[cinyc]

Three PACs are now up on Utah TV - anti-Trump Club for Growth, pro-Cruz Trusted Leadership PAC, and pro-Kasich New Day for America.  The filings are still not complete (we're missing a likely Cruz buy on KUTV (CBS) and a Cruz PAC buy on KTVX (ABC), along with a few minor reported buys by a few candidates on KJZZ (Independent).  Here is the size of the buys on the 5 network Salt Lake City stations so far:

Cruz                                                         $104,525        246 ads
Kasich                                                     $174,950        464 ads
New Day for America PAC (Pro-Kasich)    $65,725          61 ads
Trusted Leadership PAC (Pro-Cruz)           $146,280        128 ads
Club For Growth (Anti-Trump)                   $205,675        395 ads

Sanders                                                   $225,975      491 ads (:30 and :60)

As of earlier this evening when I compiled the data, neither Trump nor Clinton were up on Utah TV.

Of course, not all ads cost the same.  Prime time ads cost more than daytime ads, and higher priority non-preemptable ads cost more than lower-priority ads.  I've tallied the daypart/type of ads that each candidate/PAC has ordered on KSL-TV:

Cruz   $37,330 for 77 ads (36 news, 7 prime time, 17 daytime, 17 other)
Kasich $52,430 for 166 ads (85 news, 0 prime time, 60 daytime, 21 other)
New Day for America PAC (Pro-Kasich) $14,775 for 21 ads (17 news, 1 prime time, 3 daytime)
Trusted Leadership PAC (Pro-Cruz) $28,680 for 63 ads (45 news, 0 prime time, 18 daytime)
Club For Growth (Anti-Trump) $46,580 for 99 ads (63 news, 4 prime time, 28 daytime, 4 other)

Sanders $38,295 for 74 ads (49 news, 1 prime time, 17 daytime, 7 other)

[Koharu]

Thank you for the spending data. It's really fascinating to see what the campaigns spend and where.

[dax00]

https://www.instagram.com/p/BDBS8bYGhWr/?taken-by=realdonaldtrump
Trump's psychological anti-Hillary ad - clearly aiming for the voters' subconscious