2016 Presidential Election
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  2016 Presidential Election
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Author Topic: 2016 Presidential Election  (Read 16221 times)
Potatoe
Guntaker
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« Reply #75 on: April 25, 2014, 06:40:54 AM »

Oregon would not be called into question in a tie.
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #76 on: April 25, 2014, 07:08:03 AM »

Oregon...Oregon...Oregon... While on my calculations, Cuomo still has a slight lead on Oregon but in a 0.8% margin against Christie. Undecided voters still polled 7%, Cuomo needs to win the undecided voters to get Oregon on next poll
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #77 on: April 25, 2014, 07:09:37 AM »

In this timeline, OR is like the state of NC during 2008, won by Dubya in double digit margin in 00 and 04, then won by Obama last 08 by pretty small margin.
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #78 on: April 25, 2014, 07:23:03 AM »

October 14, 2016- Cuomo ad: Bridgegate

Democratic Nominee Andrew Cuomo released an ad on all states with an attack on Gov. Christie's scandal.

Same day: Christie and Bush for a Strong America

The Christie-Bush campaign released an ad on the same day after the bridgegate ad aired, instead on focusing on rebuttals (which most voters expect) on the Cuomo ad, the ad focused on records of both governors of their respective states.
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #79 on: April 25, 2014, 07:28:07 AM »

October 17, 2016- 2nd Presidential Debate at Reno, Nevada

Debate moderated by ABC's George Stephanopoulos.

CBS Poll: Who won the debate?
Chris Christie-49%
Andrew Cuomo- 38%
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #80 on: April 25, 2014, 07:36:35 AM »
« Edited: April 25, 2014, 07:52:48 AM by RGN08 »

October 18, 2016- Christie leads post debate polls, Cuomo trails by 1%



Chris Christie- 249
Andrew Cuomo- 229
Toss Ups- 60
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #81 on: April 25, 2014, 07:48:43 AM »

October 23, 2016- Rumors for Secretary of State tackled on Sunday Morning Shows




On Sunday Morning Political Shows, some possible candidates for Secretary of State discussed on the show.

What if Cuomo wins?
Joe Biden
John Kerry (I)
John Edwards
Charlie Crist
Rahm Emanuel

What if Christie wins?
Marco Rubio
Rick Perry
Rick Santorum
Scott Walker
Rob Portman
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #82 on: April 25, 2014, 07:58:12 AM »

October 28, 2016- Final Presidential Debate at Manchester, NH

Moderated by NBC's Tom Brokaw

Who won this important final debate (Fox News)
Chris Christie- 45%
Andrew Cuomo-28%
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #83 on: April 25, 2014, 08:05:23 AM »

November 6-7, 2016- Final Activities for candidates

Chris Christie
Nov.6- Rally at Nashua, NH(AM)
Rally at Philadelphia, PA (PM)
Nov 7- Speech and Rally at Colombus, Ohio
Town Hall Meeting at Akron, Ohio

Andrew Cuomo
Nov.6- Barnstorming at Albuquerque, NM
Rally at Denver, CO (PM)
Nov 7- Speech with Klobuchar at Pittsburgh, PA
Speech at Cuyahoga,OH
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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E: 2.31, S: 4.47

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« Reply #84 on: April 25, 2014, 08:12:51 AM »

November 7, 2016- Final Projection Map


Chris Christie-- 45%
Andrew Cuomo- 44%
Others-1%
Undecided- 10%

Chris Christie- 255
Andrew Cuomo- 229
Tossups- 54
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #85 on: April 25, 2014, 08:15:41 AM »

For the Election Night

The network coverage of Election Night is like channel surfing every hour. Quotes and lines are mostly based on 2012 Election Night Coverage.

7:00- ABC
8:00- MSNBC
9:00- NBC
10:00- CBS
11:00- CNN
12:00-last state:FOX News
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #86 on: April 26, 2014, 09:47:56 AM »

Wouldn't Ted Cruz mount a third-party bid with Allen West or Ben Carson as his running-mate if Chris Christie won the Republican nomination?
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TX Conservative Dem
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« Reply #87 on: April 26, 2014, 10:47:21 AM »

Let me guess, Crist choked against Scott in 2014 ?

Or did Nelson win the governorship instead ?
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #88 on: April 26, 2014, 06:14:50 PM »

Wouldn't Ted Cruz mount a third-party bid with Allen West or Ben Carson as his running-mate if Chris Christie won the Republican nomination?

Well, unmentioned to be a surprise, no major third party ran to create spoiler in the results.... 7:00-8:00 part coming soon
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #89 on: April 26, 2014, 06:16:18 PM »

Let me guess, Crist choked against Scott in 2014 ?

Or did Nelson win the governorship instead ?


The fate of the midterms will depend on the actual results. Wait for November
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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E: 2.31, S: 4.47

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« Reply #90 on: April 26, 2014, 06:30:19 PM »

7:00-8:00 Coverage (ABC News)


This is an ABC News Special, Your Voice, Your Vote, Election Night 2016. Live from ABC News Election Night Headquarters in Times Square,New York, Now reporting, Diane Sawyer and George Stephanopoulos.


And finally it we’re here at Times Square for Election Night 2016 at the ABC News Election Night Headquarters, Great to have you with us. All day long we’ve been watching grandmothers, first time voters, rich people, poor people, blue-collar workers, and all the people who believe in America going to the polls.
Here we go,

7:00PM : Poll Closings and Projections


We are ready to project some states that closed on 7:00

In Indiana, we project that Chris Christie wins that state’s 11 electoral votes
In Kentucky, we project that Chris Christie wins that state’s 8 electoral votes
In Virginia, a battleground state, it is too close to call
In Georgia, we project that Chris Christie picks up that state’s 16 electoral votes
In South Carolina, it is too early to call, we just need to wait for information to come in.
In Vermont, we project that Andrew Cuomo wins that state’s 3 electoral votes

ELECTORAL VOTE MAP

Christie- 35
Cuomo- 3
As of now the electoral count as follows: Gov. Christie has 35 and Gov. Cuomo has 3.
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #91 on: April 26, 2014, 06:39:04 PM »
« Edited: April 26, 2014, 06:42:42 PM by RGN08 »

7:22 PM: We can project that the state of South Carolina will go to Chris Christie’s column and picks up that state’s 9 electoral votes. A while ago we said it is too early to call, but now we can project that he wins that state’s 9 electoral votes

ELECTORAL VOTE MAP


Christie- 44
Cuomo- 3
When we add these numbers up, as you can see, we project as of now that Gov. Christie has 44 electoral votes, and Gov. Cuomo has 3
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #92 on: April 26, 2014, 06:41:03 PM »
« Edited: April 26, 2014, 06:44:25 PM by RGN08 »

7:30PM : Poll Closings and Projections


And now it’s 7:30 in the East and we are ready to project that:
The state of West Virginia will fall to Gov. Christie’s column together with that state’s 5 electoral votes
As of now we cannot project yet North Carolina and Ohio, those states are too close to call and they are critical to both candidates, as they cannot win without Ohio and maybe, North Carolina

ELECTORAL VOTE MAP


Christie- 49
Cuomo- 3
With West Virginia added to Gov. Christie, he has 49 electoral votes, and Gov. Cuomo has 3.
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #93 on: April 26, 2014, 06:48:31 PM »

7:58PM:We are ready to project Virginia, we are ready to project the first big battleground state here in Virginia with 13 electoral votes. As you know George, this is a good news for the New Jersey Governor.
BREAKING NEWS: CHRISTIE WINS VIRGINIA
ELECTORAL VOTE MAP


Christie- 62
Cuomo- 3
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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E: 2.31, S: 4.47

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« Reply #94 on: April 26, 2014, 07:02:29 PM »

8:00-9:00 Coverage (MSNBC)

I can't find a picture .. sorry

8:00PM : Poll Closings and Projections


It is 8PM on the East Coast on Election Night and obviously the main swing states that we are looking at these batch of poll closings are Pennsylvania, Florida and New Hampshire

Starting in  Pennsylvania, it is too early to call but Gov. Cuomo has a lead
In Florida, it is too close to call, Jeb Bush’s home state, it is too close to call it is obviously critical every election with its 29 electoral votes
In the state of New Hampshire it is also too close to call. New Hampshire is won by the President in 2008 and 2012.


SUMMARY: Chris Christie wins Alabama, Mississippi,New Jersey, Oklahoma,and Tennessee
Andrew Cuomo wins Connecticut, Delaware,Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Rhode Island and DC.
Missouri is too early to call

ELECTORAL VOTE MAP


Christie- 109
Cuomo- 65

This is the electoral vote and what the electoral map looks like at these point. The big battleground states except for Virginia are too close to call.
Chris, interesting here in Pennsylvania, it is too early to call but Gov. Cuomo has a lead.
Good news for the Democrats, but I believe it would be tough all night long.
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #95 on: April 26, 2014, 07:18:35 PM »

8:30PM:We are ready to project the only state to close by 8:30, Arkansas, NBC News projects that Chris Christie will carry the state of Arkansas

ELECTORAL VOTE MAP

Christie- 115
Cuomo- 65
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #96 on: April 26, 2014, 09:19:30 PM »

Next results would be tomorrow morning (ET)
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #97 on: April 27, 2014, 04:49:09 AM »

9:00-10:00 Coverage (NBC)


9:00PM : Poll Closings and Projections

We are ready to project some states that closed on 9:00 eastern
SUMMARY: Chris Christie wins Kansas, Louisiana, Nebraska , North Dakota, South Dakota, Texas and Wyoming
Andrew Cuomo wins Michigan, Minnesota and New York

The states that is still too early to call are Colorado, and Arizona while the states of New Mexico and Wisconsin are too close to call.

ELECTORAL VOTE MAP

Christie- 181
Cuomo- 120
With this states we’ve projected added to both candidates we project Gov. Christie has 181, Gov. Cuomo, 120.
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #98 on: April 27, 2014, 08:50:07 AM »

9:15PM:We are ready to project a state that we cannot project earlier because it is too early to call, Missouri, now that state will fall to Gov. Christie’s column
And also, New Hampshire, a swing state will fall to Gov Christie’s column we project that he will pick up that state’s 4 electoral votes. The last time a Republican won  New Hampshire was in 2000.


ELECTORAL VOTE MAP


Christie- 195
Cuomo- 120
With Missouri and New Hampshire projected for the New Jersey Governor, Gov. Christie has 195, Gov. Cuomo has 120.
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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« Reply #99 on: April 27, 2014, 08:55:59 AM »

CUOMO WINS PA, CHRISTIE WINS NH9:29PM:A big win for the Democrats, we project that Gov. Cuomo will win the battleground state of Pennsylvania together with that state’s 20 electoral votes.

ELECTORAL VOTE MAP



Christie- 195
Cuomo- 140
With Pennsylvania, Gov. Cuomo’s electoral count goes up to 120 to 140.
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