In the new NBC News/WSJ National Poll Trumps JA is 45-52 among Likely Voters...YET CNN claims Trump is - 8 in FL. That is garbarge by CNN.
CNN polled thus far in Texas, Tennessee, Arizona, Nevada, Missouri and Florida AND except for Texas they have Democrats up in every other Poll.
CNN/USAToday/Gallup was a very decent combination but they stopped after the 2004 Election. Since then is has gone a long way down for CNN.
MAN, I wish Bill McInturff & Fred Yang who are the braintrust behind the NBC/WSJ Poll would poll Statewide Races. They are both a ton better compared to every other Pollster. They correctly predicted Clinton winning the Popular Vote in 2016 despite losing the EC.
They are both only one poll. Both could be right, both could be wrong. But just go by the averages. Will Nelson win by 5? Probably not. But is Trump's approval 45-47%? Probably not.
Here are Trumps JA in every State CNN/SSRS has polled this year...
AZ 39/57
FL 43/51
MO 51/45
NV 45/51
TN 49/48
TX 49/48
CNN/SSRS says that the Likely Florida Electorate next month will be 40-37-23 D/R/I, a D+3 Electorate YET if you look at the Ballots that have already been returned it's 44R/38D/17I.
If you look at past MidTerms in FL
2006 FL-GOV Exit Poll
R 40
D 36
I 24
http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006/pages/results/states/FL/G/00/epolls.0.html2010 FL-GOV Exit Poll
R 36
D 35
I 27
https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2012/06/16/2010-florida-and-ohio-governor-elections-how-the-unadjusted-exit-polls-were-forced-to-match-the-final-recorded-vote/R 35
D 31
R 33
http://edition.cnn.com/election/2014/results/state/FL/governor/#exit-pollsIf we have a D+3 Electorate in FL that would be the first time in History in a MidTerm.
Do you really believe Trumps JA in Florida is worse than in NV? I don't think so.