IA-Selzer: Hillary leads all Pubs (user search)
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  IA-Selzer: Hillary leads all Pubs (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Selzer: Hillary leads all Pubs  (Read 1242 times)
eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

« on: October 11, 2014, 05:51:32 PM »

Kind of weak leads on the first two, but Iowa isn't exactly Hillary's forte, so I'll take it. Dominating!

That's till she makes her Pennsylvania stance/populism clear. Smiley

If there's one single thing president Obama has never been, it's a populist or being populistic. If there's one single thing that every human being in the entire United States literally crave for, it's every smallest and littlest sign of populism. And if there's one single person who's shown serious strains of modern-day populism lately, it's definitely miss Hillary Clinton. Smiley
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eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2014, 04:16:55 AM »

Weird how bad Hillary does but a survey USA poll had her up 7 on Romney in Florida. Definitely possible even if Hillary wins the midwest stays in place and "trends" GOP while the southeast such as VA, NC, GA, FL continue their march left. Makes perfect sense from a demographic standpoint.

I wouldn't say that Hillary does bad exactly. She's up almost 10 on most of her competitors. I'd rather say it's shocking how well Paul Ryan and Rand Paul actually does in this poll. Wink Which is interesting, since Rand Paul does horribly in almost every other state, and since Paul Ryan trails by a mile in Wisconsin, his home state, even if he trails by less there than Walker and every other GOP opponent with him. Iowa has been surprisingly close in many 2016 polls recently. I'm not surprised that Rand Paul does well there though, so did his father to some degree. I'm more shocked at how appallingly bad Rand Paul so far does in most other states. Either it's due to horrific name recognition or most US voters are simply not ready for his brand of politics yet. I mean, Rand Paul even barely leads Hillary in his home state of Kentucky! Which tells me that all of this is rather a result of Hillary's intense popularity rather than a hate for something Rand Paul, or any other GOPer for that matter, stands for.
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eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

« Reply #2 on: October 12, 2014, 01:34:28 PM »

How is Mitt leading in Iowa? I thought that Rand was a better fit for this state than Mittens was.

This poll is probably garbage.

Selzer is a solid pollster (A+ from Nate Silver, in fact), so probably not.

Really? I have never even heard of this pollster.

Not that I have a problem with Mitt leading or anything.

Selzer is the only pollster to be trusted in Iowa primaries, and has been so for years if not decades. It's one of the most famous pollsters out there.
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eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

« Reply #3 on: October 12, 2014, 01:37:20 PM »


Thanks. This disproves RogueBeaver's numbers above. For one, Romney is actually included here, just like he is in the real poll: http://archive.desmoinesregister.com/assets/jpg/oct11poll2.jpg

Secondly, Christie and Rubio show up with different margins here.
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