Trump approval ratings thread 1.2

[Virginiá]

Gallup (October 11th)

Approve 37% (nc)
Disapprove 57% (+1)

[Virginiá]

Gallup (October 12th)

Approve 39% (+2)
Disapprove 54% (-3)

[Virginiá]

Gallup (October 18th)

Approve 36% (nc)
Disapprove 59% (nc)

[Virginiá]

Gallup (October 22nd)

Approve 36% (nc)
Disapprove 57% (-1)

[Virginiá]

Gallup (October 24th)

Approve 36% (nc)
Disapprove 59% (+1)

[Virginiá]

Gallup 33/62. Lowest ever.

Damn it I was this close to posting that

I wonder if it'll go lower once today is fully factored in.

[Virginiá]

Gallup, 10/31

Approve 35 (+1)
Disapprove 61 (-1)

Looks like around 33% could be his absolute floor at this current point in time. Not that that isn't super low as it is, though.

[Virginiá]

Or that the 33% was an outlier.

Maybe, but Trump has been at 34% for multiple days in a row before, so it's not out of the question.

[Virginiá]

Gallup (November 2nd)

Approve 39% (+1)
Disapprove 57% (-1)

[Virginiá]

The indictments actually HELPED him???

No I'd say it hurt him but only during the small time period where the news was completely dominated by it. It really does seem like Trump has hit his floor (35 - 38%), which may or may not be temporary. At this point the only thing that could allow it to stabilize at a number in the low 30s (or lower) might be time, in the sense that years go by and nothing gets done and his supporters continue to see no movement on issues Trump promised to solve, and/or passing very unpopular policies that even he can't defend.

[Virginiá]

I think the indictments definitely helped considering they had nothing to do with Trump or any actions done during the campaign.

Really? You forgot Papadopoulos, who already plead out and has offered very damning information, some of which might be trouble for Jeff Sessions. I think you're also forgetting the entire reason Mueller has gone after Manafort (aka Trump's campaign manager?) and Gates in the first place. Manafort didn't fold, so he's doing what prosecutors do and digging up old dirt to pressure him into cooperating. This isn't some wild theory. This is a pretty standard action by prosecutors.

Look it's one thing if you think there is nothing much to Russiagate, but let's please not pretend nothing in that Monday reveal had nothing to do with Trump or the campaign.

[Virginiá]

Gallup (November 3rd)

Approve 39% (nc)
Disapprove 56% (-1)

[Virginiá]

Gallup (November 4th)

Approve 37% (-2)
Disapprove 57% (+1)

[Virginiá]

Gallup (November 6th)

Approve 37% (nc)
Disapprove 57% (nc)

[Virginiá]

California - USC Dornsife/LA Times (Oct 27 - Nov 6)


"Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States?"
Approve: 22% (11% strongly approve)
Disapprove: 66% (58% strongly disapprove)
N/A: 11%

"What is your impression of Donald Trump?"
Favorable: 20% (9% very favorable)
Unfavorable: 65% (51% very unfavorable)
N/A: 15%


Article

Full Methodology/results

Crosstabs (Pages 14-16 for job approval)

11% approval among people ages 18 - 44, and only 30% for 45+

That is horrendous!

[Virginiá]

Gallup (November 10th)

Approve 38% (+1)
Disapprove 57% (-1)

[Virginiá]

Gallup (November 11th)

Approve 39% (+1)
Disapprove 55% (-2)

[Virginiá]

Gallup (November 24th)

Approve 38% (nc)
Disapprove 55% (nc)

[Virginiá]

Carter 28% (June 1979)
GHW Bush 29% (July 1992)

Trump is going to be a one term president. I don't care what happened in 2016.

I still don't get why people act like 2016 proved approval numbers don't matter. All it proved was that if you take one unpopular candidate and pit them against another unpopular candidate, one will win, and not necessarily the one that is only slightly less unpopular.

As far as I am concerned, if Trump is as unpopular as he is now (or even slightly less so), he's not going to win reelection. If he faces off against someone who is fairly popular and clean, ethics-wise, most people who strongly disapprove of him will not vote for him again and those who only somewhat disapprove will probably defect in smaller but not insignificant numbers as well.

[Virginiá]

No president has ever been this low and was reelected.

His only shot is if he can make his opponent as unpopular as him (or if he again draws one that is already unpopular, like Clinton). I'd say it is seriously debatable whether or not he can even do that. Hillary became very unpopular due to her own constant self-created scandals. All Trump did was attempt to amplify what was already there (email scandal, ensuing fbi investigation, clinton foundation, deplorables, etc).

If his numbers stay in the 30s or even low 40s, I'd say he is cooked.

[Virginiá]

Eh, Clinton started out the 2016 cycle very popular as well, and Trump started out as unpopular as he is now. The thing with Trump is that he has a core base of support and he has a strong ability, as Fuzzy Bear has pointed out, to bring his opponents' favorables way down. Once it's in the mud, it's his ball game. The Democrats need a candidate who's not only more popular, but also has a sort of teflon quality where stuff just bounces off him/her, and they have a cult core of supporters who feel themselves as part of a movement to provide resilience. Just "not being Trump" won't be enough.

He has a strong ability to do that among his own base, hence why so many Republicans who get on his bad side end up tanking in the polls. He didn't make Clinton unpopular. She made herself unpopular with terrible decisions as Secretary of State and beyond. All Trump did was seize on existing scandals that had already driven her favorables down bigly.

I do agree with the the last part, about the need for teflon and a 'movement' quality.

[Virginiá]

I think LimoLiberal is probably one of these 3:

1. A secret Republican trolling Democrats
2. An actual Democrat who is just trolling Democrats
3. A liberal who really believes Democrats are doomed no matter what because 2016 etc etc, and he just bides his time until some sort of ""evidence"" comes out that justifies his view. He's just pretending to act like this is a new development to him, when in reality its his belief all this time, he just can't prove it. He wouldn't be the only one like this on Atlas, but he's probably the most consistent. This isn't all that different from Reaganfan actually

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/trumps-approval-rating-jumps-to-45-percent-highest-since-september/article/2642685

Haha he'd still get blown the  out against a normal opponent in 2020 with a 45% approval rating from his most favorable pollster.

It's pretty telling for a user who mostly lays back until something - anything presents itself that he can use in a doomed attempt to show Trump is actually somehow in good shape.

In this case, that is a stellar example of cherry picking.

[Virginiá]

Pew Research

Approve: 32%
Disapprove: 63%

http://www.people-press.org/2017/12/07/stark-partisan-divisions-over-russia-probe-including-its-importance-to-the-nation/

Ouch

I like how the % of Republicans who are confident in Mueller conducting a fair investigation is only 44%, and this is coming from the party of law and order that routinely sides with cops in cases of police misconduct involving minorities. Who would have thought that Republicans would think an older white male Republican prosecutor could possibly be unfair to their guy, when all those older white male prosecutors have seemingly been fair and just to all those gunned down minorities

[Virginiá]

And a registered Republican as well.

This is part of why I just can't take seriously these complaints about fairness coming from Trump supporters regarding Mueller. They got off easy on this. They drew a well-respected Republican to investigate their Republican president. They didn't get Ken Starr 2.0. Instead, they are lying in wait, waiting for any little thing to come out that they can blow completely out of proportion and use to smear Mueller's name and the investigation. Quite frankly, they should be ashamed of all these editorials and smear attempts on the special counsel. Evidently Mueller was a fine choice until he actually started uncovering dirt and charging people, then suddenly he was out of control and biased.

It's pathetic. At the very least I wish they would admit that they don't care if Trump is guilty, and that they just don't want him to be held accountable, whether out of pure partisanship or something else.

[Virginiá]

18-34: 70% disapproves, 27% approves.

More than 2/3 of younger Americans despise this President.  Sad!  #ToxicTrump  #Party of Roy Moore

Honest to God, I know of like 10 young Trump voters personally who regret their vote now. And I didn't even bring the conversation up.

I wonder where Trump would stand with 18-34 year olds if his approval slid down to 23% - 25%. Maybe 15%? 10%? Trump has real potential to drag himself and the Republican brand down to reverse North Korea numbers before 2020 comes around.