Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Hammy]

Dems are going to get pummelled tonight, I'm thinking they actually suffer a net loss in the House at this point.

[Hammy]

I was about to ask "Has this forum learned nothing about drawing conclusions from early returns?"  But then I realized that you don't need to ask questions you already know the answer to.

Atlas tradition

[Hammy]

Is there any reason CNN isn't showing the % of vote that's in?

[Hammy]

Why is CNN already on doom mode?

They always are

[Hammy]

McGrath now up 8 with almost 40% in

Where are you watching at? CNN's still stuck at 6% and seems horribly behind

[Hammy]

KY-6 Barr up by about 2.

That's CNN's with 68% in, someone else had McGrath up with 70% in. Not sure who is watching where at this point.

[Hammy]

OMG YES!!! I told you guys this would be a GOP sweep. Just wait when we get to Nevada boys!!!

<10% chance of this being a sweep, that would involve winning all the semi-competitive seats.

[Hammy]

Florida's gone by the looks of it

[Hammy]

D's back to 64% for the House in 538's model.

Why's it varying so wildly?

[Hammy]

Looks like Trafalgar is the new gold standard in polling.

[Hammy]

Well Dems, I hope you're happy about nominating the worst possible candidate possible in 2016 and essentially costing the Senate for the next several cycles in the process

[Hammy]

What's going on with Missouri on CNN? It's still at 1%. Is it taking that long or are they just really behind?

[Hammy]

Right, so the Florida Democratic Party needs to do some explaining.

Never trust the Florida Democratic Party for anything!

[img width=760 height=149]https://i.imgur.com/kNAxjJ7.png

Fixed

[Hammy]

why is texas at 2%

Where are you at? It's at 54% on CNN

[Hammy]

Looks like it was a major tactical mistake for Democrats to go to the mat in opposing Kavanaugh's nomiantion. Donnelly and Nelson have lost while the one D Senator who voted for him is cruising to re-election.

I don't know how I can live in a world where people get punished for voting against people credibly accused of attempted rape.

It's sickening.

This is America. Our constitution will forever have wording (even if repealed) calling blacks less than people. We're a backwards culture and there is absolutely nothing unexpected here, awful as it is.

[Hammy]

Well Dems, I hope you're happy about nominating the worst possible candidate possible in 2016 and essentially costing the Senate for the next several cycles in the process

Let's be real here, today would have been far worse had she won.

My point is her nomination itself is why we're where we are today. I regret the role I played in it even if she would've won the Georgia primary regardless.

[Hammy]

Well folks, as a Moderate Democrat. I am blaming the progressives for this. and I think that Joe Biden is the Messiah and our only future.

Keep nominating moderate Dems and me and people like me will dedicate every once of our existence to make sure Dems never win again, because that's the only real way to punish the country for this garbage.

[Hammy]

Why is anyone calling the House while people are still voting? What kind of dumb logic is that, this is a good way to push down turnout.

[Hammy]

Heitkamp, noooooo 

She was the one Dem incumbent that I never at any point expected to win.

[Hammy]

CNN projects Democrats will be under 200.

Big! This is definitely a blue wave in the House, a Tossup in the Senate and a Blue trickle in the Governors races.

Isn't that a massive R wave? Or a typo?

[Hammy]

This feels alarmingly like 2010. Trump could get a 2nd term.

Trump was always going to get reelected, lets be honest with ourselves.

[Hammy]

Gwen Graham would have won, and pulled over Nelson. Would have changed the flavor of the whole night.

Yep. The Graham fanboys were right all along. Looks like Gillum dragged down Nelson with him.

Huh

Not sure what is the evidence for that. FL is a state that is naturally hard for Dems to win in a midterm because the GOP base is olds, which votes in midterms. The Dem base in FL is minorities, which usually does not vote in midterms. The only reason it was even close is that Dems had decent turnout of the Dem base.

Any blame is on the state party, not the voters who chose a truly better candidate--FLDP should've worked harder, done whatever they could, to make sure as many voters turned out as possible.

[Hammy]

Hey guys Atlas didn't crash! Thanks Dave!!!

Biggest upset of the night!

[Hammy]

MO finally called. Is anyone else thinking Arizona is gone too?

[Hammy]

The sad thing about FL is those old farts will not reap any repercussions since Democrats won the house. It elections like this that sometimes makes me wish R's swept everything so these assholes finally see what they voted for.

The problem with that is we'd all suffer just to make a point to the other side.