The Mideast Record-Courier: LIVE Coverage of the February '17 Election (user search)
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  The Mideast Record-Courier: LIVE Coverage of the February '17 Election (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Mideast Record-Courier: LIVE Coverage of the February '17 Election  (Read 3230 times)
JustinTimeCuber
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,323
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.78

« on: February 05, 2017, 01:04:39 AM »

I DID AN INDEPENDENT STUDY

as of Delegate OneJ_'s vote, the totals were
Speaker NeverAgain: 8, 57%
Secretary Peebs: 4, 29%
Delegate Santander: 2 , 14%
Total: 14
Registered: 67
Turnout: 21%

Fremont:
Speaker NeverAgain: 2, 67%
Secretary Peebs: 1, 33%
Total: 3
Registered: 21
Turnout: 14%

North:
Secretary Peebs: 2, 50%
Speaker NeverAgain: 1, 25%
Delegate Santander: 1 , 25%
Total: 4
Registered: 21
Turnout: 19%

South:
Speaker NeverAgain: 5, 71%
Secretary Peebs: 1, 14%
Delegate Santander: 1 , 14%
Total: 7
Registered: 25
Turnout: 28%

The entirety of Speaker NeverAgain's margin comes from the South, with a 4-vote lead. The Speaker also has a 1-vote lead in Fremont, but is down by 1 vote in the North.
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JustinTimeCuber
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,323
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: February 19, 2017, 05:51:03 PM »

JustinTimeCuber independent election research association (JIERA) projection for final runoff round:

[FED] dfwlibertylover 53-59%
[LAB] NeverAgain 41-47%

PROJECTED WINNER


☑ dfwlibertylover
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JustinTimeCuber
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,323
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.78

« Reply #2 on: February 19, 2017, 05:56:28 PM »

Yeah, I'm a bit disappointed that we couldn't get NeverAgain elected, but I think dfw will do well as President. We can hopefully get a Laborite elected next time though after the federalists mess everything up Tongue
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JustinTimeCuber
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,323
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.78

« Reply #3 on: February 19, 2017, 06:02:04 PM »

Peebs June '17! (Or Peebs March '17, if we can get enough people out of the way Wink)
it's been announced.
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JustinTimeCuber
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,323
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.78

« Reply #4 on: February 19, 2017, 06:08:44 PM »

JustinTimeCuber independent election research association (JIERA) projection for final runoff round:

[FED] dfwlibertylover 53-59%
[LAB] NeverAgain 41-47%

Out of curiosity, who do you have marked as invalid?
It wasn't necessary to make the projection. Looking through valid ballots and using a combination of reports on invalid ones, it's clear DFW will win by at least around 5 votes. More specific projections will come later as all ballots are individually checked.
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JustinTimeCuber
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,323
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.78

« Reply #5 on: February 19, 2017, 06:19:48 PM »

Mississippi?
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JustinTimeCuber
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,323
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.78

« Reply #6 on: February 19, 2017, 08:22:01 PM »

What about the possibility of a 4-4-1 House? It seems like there's a good chance, given the STV system.
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JustinTimeCuber
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,323
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.78

« Reply #7 on: February 20, 2017, 05:49:45 PM »
« Edited: February 20, 2017, 08:48:59 PM by Future President JustinTimeCuber »



Pretty sure this is accurate, there just aren't any vote totals. I noticed a few discrepancies between Encke's totals in some states and the number of people listed from that state on the census.
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JustinTimeCuber
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,323
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.78

« Reply #8 on: February 20, 2017, 06:50:33 PM »

I think you also left out a person in FL and in CT fyi
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JustinTimeCuber
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,323
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.78

« Reply #9 on: February 20, 2017, 08:39:22 PM »

I think you also left out a person in FL and in CT fyi

One of the CT votes was invalid (ReaganClinton20XX). Same in Florida (monolith).

Also, where are you getting a Labor win in New Mexico? Heisenberg/SecureAmerica voted for dfw, and Turkisblau/H_Wallace voted for Maxwell with dfw as a second preference.

Note that the census includes people who cast invalid ballots as having voted in the election.
Yeah, I guess that's right. I don't know what I did to New Mexico.
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