2030s electoral college map from 2032-2040 and future trends

[Kamala's side hoe]

At least for 2032, I think the map will generally look recognizable to a late 2010s/early 2020s observer, though there might be a few surprises.

OR gaining 2 seats at CA’s expense while WA and NV hold steady definitely would be one. Curious how much of that disproportionate growth would be in Metro PDX, and how much of it is from expanding the Urban Growth Boundary versus upzoning and densification in the city and OR suburbs.

[Kamala's side hoe]

I'm very skeptical of the idea that California will lose 5 (!) House seats in the next apportionment cycle.

If the previous census was problematic and underestimated population movements, the next census will correct it by recording larger moves.

I still think that a loss of 5 seats would imply a degree of miscounting and population loss that would be absolutely unprecedented in American history.

I understand that California is facing its fair share of problems but still.

I'm also skeptical of CA losing 5 seats- if only because it seems like municipal governments have been taking measures to upzone and promote densification/construction in urban cores.