Why are GOP swings more intense than Dem swings (user search)
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  Why are GOP swings more intense than Dem swings (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why are GOP swings more intense than Dem swings  (Read 1261 times)
Kamala's side hoe
khuzifenq
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« on: May 22, 2022, 01:38:24 AM »

As kwabbit said, the D coalition is more pluralist (racially, ethnically, religiously, socioeconomically, etc. diverse) than the R coalition. Also there are more right-leaning Dem voters than there are left-leaning GOP voters.

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/interactives/political-typology-comparison-2021/

Quote from: AAD
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I also enjoy the (probably correct) observation that more people in the Democratic coalition have essentially Republican orientations than the reverse, so there is still more low-hanging persuasion fruit for the Republicans to pick, on net. (Also, interesting to note that Republicans with Democratic orientations are an overwhelmingly young group -- likelier in every younger age group, and the effect is really strong -- while Democrats with Republican orientations seem to have virtually no demographic characteristics that mark them apart. A little likelier to be Hispanic than a different race, but even that's only a small effect.)


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Kamala's side hoe
khuzifenq
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« Reply #1 on: June 27, 2022, 07:15:26 PM »

As kwabbit said, the D coalition is more pluralist (racially, ethnically, religiously, socioeconomically, etc. diverse) than the R coalition. Also there are more right-leaning Dem voters than there are left-leaning GOP voters.

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/interactives/political-typology-comparison-2021/

Quote from: AAD
Quote
I also enjoy the (probably correct) observation that more people in the Democratic coalition have essentially Republican orientations than the reverse, so there is still more low-hanging persuasion fruit for the Republicans to pick, on net. (Also, interesting to note that Republicans with Democratic orientations are an overwhelmingly young group -- likelier in every younger age group, and the effect is really strong -- while Democrats with Republican orientations seem to have virtually no demographic characteristics that mark them apart. A little likelier to be Hispanic than a different race, but even that's only a small effect.)





If I had to guess what demographic variables might predict who right-leaning self-ID Dem( leaner)s are, maybe occupation, educational attainment, and being foreign-born?
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