Decline and Fall (user search)
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Author Topic: Decline and Fall  (Read 4522 times)
Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,386
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

« on: August 25, 2005, 09:45:48 PM »

Very nice...any chance you can provide a % change (fall) map?

EDIT:  That might be difficult, though...unless you do an overlay of the maps.  If only there was an Atlas script to do that, but that would be rather complex.

I was bored, so I did it by hand, as I could not for the life of me find any other way.

Here's the percentage change in Democratic support in Texas (blue is down, red is up):



There were only four counties in which Democratic support actually increased: Dallas, Fort Bend, Loving and Travis.

I won't do any analysis of this; I'll leave this up to you guys. Smiley
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Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,386
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

« Reply #1 on: August 25, 2005, 10:33:59 PM »

1992 looked like this:



Even with a George Bush on the ballot, this still bears a lot more resemblance to 1996 than to 2004.
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Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,386
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

« Reply #2 on: September 08, 2005, 10:15:07 PM »

The home state of a Nominee always has exagerated election returns. This happened with Georgia in '76, Arkansas in '92, Kansas in '96, and Texas in the last 2 elections.  The next election will be a more useful comparison since (hopefully!) the nominee won't be from Texas.

The nominee was from Texas in 1992, and Democratic support for Clinton was almost as high as it was in 1996.
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