2024 or 2028.
Old white retirees won’t be flooding Florida in the same numbers they have been if these hurricanes continue to intensify. They’ll begin to retire to other places.
I wonder where affluent retirees will go if the sunbelt becomes a mess thanks to climate change? Maybe New England?
Well the Sun Belt metro cities aren't entirely along the coast. Sure there's Tampa, Miami, Jacksonville, and Houston, but there's places like Raleigh, Charlotte, Atlanta, Orlando, Dallas, Austin, San Antonio, and Phoenix that are all inland. My guess is that retirees start migrating to warmer but more inland places if the storms become as frequent as they have been this season. People don't want to risk property damage, especially if they're in retirement. I'd guess other southern areas with lakes and golf courses galore or something like that become more common.I wonder if that could actually end up causing a state like North Carolina or Georgia to shift back to the right? That would be an interesting development.
Influx of Puerto Ricans could cause Florida to shift to the left, while a shrinking Pennsylvania drifts to the right.
It is an incredibly recent thing that a growing area would be more Democratic than Republican; I wouldn't count on that continuing for TOO long.