BC Election on October 24th

[Jeppe]

The BC NDP is leading in the interior by 5 points. Seems quite likely that a few of the urban seats in the interior such as in Kelowna and Kamloops may be picked up by the NDP if that lead holds.

[Jeppe]

This looks to be a slaughter, if most of these votes are e-day only...

[Jeppe]

I think there’s approximately 6k mail-in ballots per constituency. The NDP’s lead among those voters  is almost 30 points, compared to their 10 point victory with in-person ballots. So, I’d wager that the NDP approximately nets 1000 votes over the Liberals in each constituency. Of course, this will differ by constituency, based on how many mail-in ballots there actually are for each constituency.

[Jeppe]

So what direction will the BC Liberals go?

I feel like it’ll be Michael Lee vs an interior candidate like Todd Stone.