2014 US Gubernatorial Election Results

[RI]

Moderate Party candidate Healey doing well in RI

[RI]

RI: Fung 39, Raimondo 34, Healey 26 (4% in)

[RI]

So, uh, Balukoff is actually doing pretty well...

[RI]

First results in Alaska have Walker beating Parnell 48.66-45.75

[RI]

First results in Alaska have Walker beating Parnell 48.66-45.75

48.45-46.03 (27.89% in)

[RI]

Now 48.60-45.87 (36.28% in)

[RI]

Looks like Alaska is joining the sanity island in this race.

Now even Palin can see the sanity island from her house.

I'm rather confused. I thought Walker was the de facto D in this race, but if he was endorsed by Palin, what does that make him? Is it just a weird grudge by Palin or something, or is Walker to the right of Parnell?

Walker's fairly conservative, but leans a bit communitarian. He's pro-life, pro-gun, somewhat anti-gay marriage, anti-marijuana, but also supports accepting expanded Medicaid dollars, is against vouchers, supports expanding higher ed funding, etc. See here.

[RI]

Alaska now 48.10-46.53 (55.10% in)

[RI]

Walker leads by 3,165 votes right now. If there are 25,000 absentee votes outstanding, they need to break about 14,250 to Parnell vs. 10,750 to Walker. In other words, Parnell needs to win 57% of their combined vote.

Of course, some of those votes will be for third party candidates. If 5% go to third parties, that leaves 23,750 votes between the two. Parnell's necessary two candidate share goes up slightly to 57.4% of their combined vote.

If the full 38,000 absentees votes requested are returned (unlikely), Parnell needs 54.6% of their combined vote to win. Discounting third party votes, it goes up to 54.8%.

AFAIK, absentee/early votes have generally favored Democrats in the past.

[RI]

Here's a somewhat awful, somewhat interesting precinct map of the Alaska race: http://www.ktuu.com/news/news/governors-race-mapping-the-election-results/29532920

[RI]

[RI]

New Alaska numbers:

Walker 112,263 (47.80%) (+3,019)
Parnell 109,244 (46.51%)

New batch was
Parnell 5,014 (48.56%) (+146)
Walker 4,868 (47.14%)

That kind of split should be enough for Walker to hang on.

[RI]

Update#2:

Walker 114,756 (47.93%) (+3,839)
Parnell 110,917 (46.33%)

New batch was
Walker 2,493 (54.86%) (+820)
Parnell 1,673 (36.82%)

On the day, Walker has increased his lead by 674 votes. Should be pretty safe for Walker at this point.

[RI]

Update #3

Walker 117,130 (47.94%) (+4,004)
Parnell 113,126 (46.30%)

New batch was
Walker 2,493 (50.83%) (+284)
Parnell 2,209 (45.06%)

Total post-election day count
Walker 9,854 (49.83%) (+958)
Parnell 8,896 (44.99%)

[RI]

Update #4

Walker 125,893 (47.88%) (+4,478)
Parnell 121,415 (46.18%)
Other 15,605 (5.94%)

New batch was
Walker 8,763 (47.12%) (+474)
Parnell 8,289 (44.57%)
Other 1,545 (8.31%)

Total post-election day count
Walker 18,617 (48.52%) (+1,432)
Parnell 17,185 (44.79%)
Other 2,569 (6.70%)

[RI]

Yeah, I'm really surprised Jones didn't pull that one out. Idaho schools are a well-known disaster zone.