The Hill: State by State: Pennsylvannia, Georgia, Oklahoma, Oregon, Maryland (user search)
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  The Hill: State by State: Pennsylvannia, Georgia, Oklahoma, Oregon, Maryland (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Hill: State by State: Pennsylvannia, Georgia, Oklahoma, Oregon, Maryland  (Read 3325 times)
socaldem
skolodji
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,040


« on: July 05, 2007, 11:39:33 AM »

according to DCPolitical Report, these are Sestak's declared opponents: GOP activist Andrew Reilly (R), Michael Puppio (R)

So basically, a "GOP activist" (aka wingnut) and a guy who doesn't even have a website up. I bet Sestak sure is scared!

I'm not too worried about the Southeast seats at all.  In fact in PA-6, we're looking MUCH better than in 2006.  PA-10 was a miracle and I'm thinking we'll lose that seat.  I think DKos is too optimistic.  They're basically saying PA could be all Dem except PA 5, 9, 16, and 19.  Wishful thinking, but I know that could never happen.  Here's my order as of now:

PA 10 D->R
PA 6 R->D

I think the above will actually happen

PA 18 R->D

Big Gap.

PA 15 R->D

Above COULD happen.  Gap widens after this

PA 3 R->D
PA 8 D->R
PA 7 D->R

Below would need either a 1994 scenario and/or a marquee candidate or a scandal

PA 17 D->R
PA 13 D->R

Why so optimistic on PA-06?

Where does PA-04 fit into your scheme?
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