according to DCPolitical Report, these are Sestak's declared opponents: GOP activist Andrew Reilly (R), Michael Puppio (R)
So basically, a "GOP activist" (aka wingnut) and a guy who doesn't even have a website up. I bet Sestak sure is scared!
I'm not too worried about the Southeast seats at all. In fact in PA-6, we're looking MUCH better than in 2006. PA-10 was a miracle and I'm thinking we'll lose that seat. I think DKos is too optimistic. They're basically saying PA could be all Dem except PA 5, 9, 16, and 19. Wishful thinking, but I know that could never happen. Here's my order as of now:
PA 10 D->R
PA 6 R->D
I think the above will actually happen
PA 18 R->D
Big Gap.
PA 15 R->D
Above COULD happen. Gap widens after this
PA 3 R->D
PA 8 D->R
PA 7 D->R
Below would need either a 1994 scenario and/or a marquee candidate or a scandal
PA 17 D->R
PA 13 D->R
Why so optimistic on PA-06?
Where does PA-04 fit into your scheme?