Maybe Cashcow or some other New Jersey person can clarify this, but what's been up with New Jersey polls lately? Both match polls and approval polls are showing a weird number of undecideds relative to other states.
The Jersey problem is the local politicians are dominated by their neighbors. Very few people live outside the NYC and Philly media markets, so they tend to know more about politicians in the neighboring states than about their own (this would be even more true between elections, when the NYT and the Philadelphia Inquirer, as well as the local TV and radio stations, don't have much reason to cover Jersey politicians). This might account for consistently high number of undecideds: they might have clearer views on NY and PA senators and governors.
