AL-Trafalgar: Moore +5

[MT Treasurer]

I'm skeptical. Trafalgar also overestimated Moore by a lot in the primary, so take this with a grain of salt.

[MT Treasurer]

The (artist formerly known as the) gold standard hath spoken.

They underesimated Northam’s margin by like 8 points. If the same error occurs again, then that’s enough for a Jones win. Again, Jones is only a single polling error away from a victory.

And they also thought Trump was going to win NV and NH while losing WI.

[MT Treasurer]

Can't blame them. Two <1% margins missed? Eh.

Trafalgar has spoken. Moore has won.

NH was never going to vote to the right of the WI. They also underestimated Clinton by like 5 points in CO.

NH being to the right of WI is what elected Bush in 2000.

Yes, and VA voted to the right of WV in 2000. Not sure how that's relevant now.

[MT Treasurer]

Why does it seem like MT-Treasurer and IceSpear cause every thread to go off the rails?

1. Pointing out that Trafalgar is far from a perfect pollster isn't trolling. They underestimated Northam by like 8 points and did poorly in the AL GOP primary runoff as well.
2. Speaking of trolling... you might want to check out this thread. And what about that IA poll your twin brother leaked to you?
3. I know you're sweating like a dog over this race, but don't blame me or IceSpear for the fact that it is close