Monmouth National: Warren 28, Biden 25, Sanders 15
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  Monmouth National: Warren 28, Biden 25, Sanders 15
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Author Topic: Monmouth National: Warren 28, Biden 25, Sanders 15  (Read 1021 times)
ShamDam
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« on: October 02, 2019, 10:35:18 AM »
« edited: October 02, 2019, 10:39:41 AM by ShamDam »



Change from August poll: https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1166032564223717377

Warren 28% (+8)
Biden 25% (+6)
Sanders 15% (-5)
Harris 5% (-3)
Buttigieg 5% (+1)
Williamson 2% (0)
Yang 2% (-1)
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2019, 10:36:39 AM »

Change from last?
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Pheurton Skeurto
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« Reply #2 on: October 02, 2019, 10:38:21 AM »

Marianne Williamson polling equal to Yang lol
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Xing
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« Reply #3 on: October 02, 2019, 10:39:04 AM »

Edit: OP beat me to it.

Go Liz! Other than California, I wonder which states she's doing really well in, since she's probably still losing the South to Biden by a decent margin. The West is probably pretty strong for her, but I wonder how she's doing in the Midwest.
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ltomlinson31
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« Reply #4 on: October 02, 2019, 10:52:57 AM »
« Edited: October 02, 2019, 10:57:40 AM by ltomlinson31 »



Biden's average lead on RCP is down to only +1.7 against Warren now
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The Mikado
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« Reply #5 on: October 02, 2019, 10:55:24 AM »



Biden's average lead on RCP is down to only +1.7 against Warren now

This poll hasn't even hit the average yet.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
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« Reply #6 on: October 02, 2019, 11:05:02 AM »



Biden's average lead on RCP is down to only +1.7 against Warren now

This poll hasn't even hit the average yet.

Yes it is, as is the new Economist poll.
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OneJ
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« Reply #7 on: October 02, 2019, 11:18:21 AM »

NUT!

Favorability among the general electorate:

Biden:
Very Favorable - 20%
Somewhat Favorable - 26% | NET - 46%
Somewhat Unfavorable - 18%
Very Unfavorable - 27% | NET - 45% (+1)

Sanders:
Very Favorable - 18%
Somewhat Favorable - 24% | NET - 42%
Somewhat Unfavorable - 12%
Very Unfavorable - 37% | NET - 49% (-7)

Warren:
Very Favorable - 22%
Somewhat Favorable - 20% | NET - 42%
Somewhat Unfavorable - 9%
Very Unfavorable - 31% | NET - 40% (+2)

Harris:
Very Favorable - 12%
Somewhat Favorable - 21% | NET - 33%
Somewhat Unfavorable - 12%
Very Unfavorable - 30% | NET - 42% (-9)

Buttigieg:
Very Favorable - 13%
Somewhat Favorable - 17% | NET - 30%
Somewhat Unfavorable - 11%
Very Unfavorable - 20% | NET - 31% (-1)
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: October 02, 2019, 11:24:07 AM »

Biden's unfavs are rising fast, since he is hiding, Warren will become default nominee, by Biden's absence
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Ashley Biden's Diary
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« Reply #9 on: October 02, 2019, 11:24:29 AM »

Sanders has by the far the highest unfavorables, combined they are already at 49%.
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #10 on: October 02, 2019, 11:54:15 AM »

Biden's done. Time to move on from the failed throwbacks of the Clinton era.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #11 on: October 02, 2019, 12:02:46 PM »

men:
Biden 31%
Warren 19%
Sanders 14%

women:
Warren 33%
Biden 21%
Sanders 16%

age 18-49:
Warren 28%
Sanders 25%
Biden 17%

age 50+:
Biden 33%
Warren 28%
Sanders 6%

white:
Warren 34%
Biden 22%
Sanders 10%

non-white:
Biden 28%
Sanders 22%
Warren 20%
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Ashley Biden's Diary
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #12 on: October 02, 2019, 02:07:05 PM »

Don't care for these cross tabs. Combining age groups 18-29 and 30-49 into one is very irritating. Combining African Americans and Latinos (who have had very different preferences in this primary) into one result is extremely irritating.
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Pericles
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« Reply #13 on: October 02, 2019, 05:04:33 PM »

Edit: OP beat me to it.

Go Liz! Other than California, I wonder which states she's doing really well in, since she's probably still losing the South to Biden by a decent margin. The West is probably pretty strong for her, but I wonder how she's doing in the Midwest.

I think Warren can make the margins much smaller in the South so she doesn't suffer Bernie's fate, and perhaps she could even win a state or two (North Carolina was a 14 point margin for Clinton in 2016). I think she is the most likely nominee.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #14 on: October 02, 2019, 06:27:54 PM »

Edit: OP beat me to it.

Go Liz! Other than California, I wonder which states she's doing really well in, since she's probably still losing the South to Biden by a decent margin. The West is probably pretty strong for her, but I wonder how she's doing in the Midwest.

I think Warren can make the margins much smaller in the South so she doesn't suffer Bernie's fate, and perhaps she could even win a state or two (North Carolina was a 14 point margin for Clinton in 2016). I think she is the most likely nominee.

Yeah, if Warren "only" loses Southern states by 20-30 rather than by 50-60, she'll net a TON more delegates than Sanders 16 did.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #15 on: October 03, 2019, 12:05:35 AM »

The part about Warren having the highest net favorability among the general electorate is perhaps even bigger news. Hurts the “ShE’s uNeLeCtAbLe” theory.
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