Electoral outcomes from 2000 onward if Al Gore won the 2000 election

[Chips]

I got this idea from Red Eagle Politics who recently did a video on how he thought all elections since 1960 would've looked if Nixon and not Kennedy ended up victorious. I did basically the same thing but only 2000 and onwards.

2000: Al Gore wins.

Al Gore: 292 electoral votes and 48% of the popular vote
George W. Bush: 246 electoral votes and 48% of the popular vote

2004: Americans elect Republican John McCain after being tired of three straight Democratic terms in office.

John McCain: 307 electoral votes and 51% of the popular vote
Al Gore: 231 electoral votes and 48% of the popular vote

2008: John Edwards defeats John McCain. McCain's incumbency helps keep IN and NE-02 Republican. Him appealing better to hispanics/latinos and home region advantages also allow him to hold NV, CO, NM and FL. OH, WI, IA, OR, NH, VA and NC all still flip and thus McCain still loses. Ironically it's also 307-231. McCain barely ekes out victorious in the national popular vote.

John Edwards: 307 electoral votes and 49% of the popular vote
John McCain: 231 electoral votes and 50% of the popular vote

2012: Edwards' allegations about cheating and fraud actually cause him to resign. John Kerry, his vice president ran instead but that barely helped stop the bleeding. Mitt Romney is easily elected. Third time in a row a president from the opposing party is elected.

Mitt Romney: 363 electoral votes and 53% of the popular vote
John Kerry: 175 electoral votes and 43% of the popular vote

2016: First time since 1996 an incumbent is re-elected. Romney helped take out Bin Laden and had a smooth first term. He loses ground compared to last time but wins comfortably. Hillary is the Democratic nominee which also didn't help the Democrats.

Mitt Romney: 317 electoral votes and 52% of the popular vote
Hillary Clinton: 221 electoral votes and 47% of the popular vote

2020 will have VP Paul Ryan vs. rising star Bernie Sanders. It's looking like a tossup but Sanders as a slight favorite.

[Former President tack50]

2000: 538 people in Florida change their vote and Al Gore wins

Al Gore: 292 EVs. 48%
George W. Bush: 246 EVs, 47%


2004: No Irak war and a good economy means Gore wins by an slightly larger margin than in 2000, even with people tired of Democratic rule over John McCain

Al Gore: 325 EVs, 50%
John McCain: 213 EVs, 47%

2008: A full combo of the 2008 recession sending the economy into the garbage and people just plain being tired of so many continuous years of Democratic rule (nominee Hillary does not help) means that the Republican nominee wins a landslide even larger than Obama irl

Mitt Romney: 392 EVs, 55%
Hillary Clinton: 154 EVs, 42%

2012: The economic recovery is slow but it's there, and President Romney manages to beat off a scary challenge from an fairly generic Democrat

Mitt Romney: 331 EVs, 51%
John Kerry: 207 EVs, 47%

2016: After 8 years of fairly successful Republican rule, a Democratic outsider populist manages to just narrowly squeak by in an incredibly tight election against an unpopular Republican

Bernie Sanders: 286 EVs, 47%
Ted Cruz: 252 EVs, 46%

2020 polling: President Sanders deals with Covid better than Trump irl, though there are still tons of deaths and what not. A moderate Republican familiar face in Jeb Bush gets the nomination, despite strong challenges from others. This Republican is favoured, though the election will still be competitive

[😥]

2000:

VP Al Gore (D-TN)/Sen. Bob Graham (D-FL) 292 EVs; 48.5% PV
Gov. George W. Bush (R-TX)/Fmr. Sec. Dick Cheney (R-WY) 246 EVs; 48.0% PV

2004:

Pres. Al Gore (D-TN)/VP Bob Graham (D-FL) 307 EVs; 50.6% PV
Sen. Bill Frist (R-TN)/Fmr. Rep. John Kasich (R-OH) 231 EVs; 48.8% PV

2008:

Sen. John McCain (R-AZ)/Sen. Olympia Snowe (R-ME) 324 EVs; 52.2% PV
Sen. Evan Bayh (D-IN)/Gov. Kathleen Sebelius (D-KS) 214 EVs; 47.1% PV

2012:

VP Olympia Snowe (R-ME)/Gov. Brian Sandoval (R-NV) 273 EVs; 49.2% PV
Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL)/Sen. Joe Biden (D-DE) 265 EVs; 49.1% PV

2016:

Sen. Joe Biden (D-DE)/Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) 272 EVs; 49.5% PV
Pres. Olympia Snowe (R-ME)/VP Brian Sandoval (R-NV) 266 EVs; 49.0% PV

2020:

Pres. Joe Biden (D-DE)/VP Barack Obama (D-IL) 406 EVs; 54.6% PV
Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)/Gov. Doug Ducey (R-AZ) 132 EVs; 43.7% PV


Senate:
2000: 50-50 D, 51-49 D (with Jeffords)

2002
D gain: AR, MN, NH
R gain: SD
52-48 D

2004
D gain: AK, CO, IL, KY
R gain: GA, LA, NC, SC
52-48 D

2006
D gain: OH, PA
R gain: MD, MO, NJ
51-49 D

2008
D gain: NM, VA
R gain: MN, LA, GA
50-50 R

2010
D gain: FL, MO, NC, OH, PA, ME-special
R gain: AK, AR, ND
53-47 D

2012
D gain: MD, MT, RI, VA
R gain: NE
56-44 D

2014
D gain: AK, CO, GA, MN, NC, OR
R gain: WV
61-39 D

2016
D gain: AZ, NH
R gain: NV, SD
61-39 D

[McGarnagle]

2000 - Gore defeats Bush narrowly, carrying Florida by a thousand votes on election night. The Bush campaign presses for a recount, and Gore's margin narrows to hundreds of votes. Al Gore is ultimately declared the winner in mid-December and is inaugurated as the 43rd President of the United States on January 20, 2001.

2004 - John McCain defeats President Gore narrowly, winning the key state of Ohio. There is no Iraq War, but Republicans hammer President Gore for failing to prevent 9/11, and Osama bin Laden is still at large. John McCain is inaugurated as the 44th President of the United States on January 20, 2005.

2008 - Hillary Clinton defeats President McCain during a severe recession, and is inaugurated as the 45th President of the United States on January 20, 2009.

2012 - Mitt Romney narrowly defeats President Clinton in an upset amidst a slow economic recovery, and is inaugrated as the 46th President of the United States on January 20, 2013.

2016 - President Romney narrowly defeats Former Vice President Mark Warner.

2020 - Barack Obama defeats Donald Trump, who unexpectedly won the Republican nomination amidst a crowded GOP field, defeating Vice President Kasich and many others.

Presidents
43 - President Al Gore (D-TN)
January 20, 2001 - January 20, 2005

44 -President John McCain (R-AZ)
January 20, 2005 - January 20, 2009

45 - President Hillary Clinton (D-NY)
January 20, 2009 - January 20, 2013

46 - President Mitt Romney (R-MA)
January 20, 2013 - January 20, 2021

47 - President Barack Obama (D-IL)
January 20, 2021 - Present

Vice Presidents
46 - Vice President Joe Lieberman (D-CT)
January 20, 2001 - January 20, 2005

47 - Vice President Tom Ridge (R-PA)
January 20, 2005 - January 20, 2009

48 - Vice President Mark Warner (D-VA)
January 20, 2009 - January 20, 2013

49 - Vice President John Kasich (R-OH)
January 20, 2013 - January 20, 2021

50 - Vice President Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)
January 20, 2021 - Present

[Amanda Huggenkiss]

2012:

Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL)/Sen. Joe Biden (D-DE) 265 EVs; 49.1% PV

2016:

Sen. Joe Biden (D-DE)/Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) 272 EVs; 49.5% PV

What the uno-reverse-card is this and why would anyone let this happen

[😥]

2012:

Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL)/Sen. Joe Biden (D-DE) 265 EVs; 49.1% PV

2016:

Sen. Joe Biden (D-DE)/Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) 272 EVs; 49.5% PV

What the uno-reverse-card is this and why would anyone let this happen

It's my random what-if scenario. Anyway, no one can know what would be happen if... . So, this is my scenario

[Chips]

UPDATE: Bernie Sanders defeats VP Paul Ryan in 2020.

Despite a fairly successful Romney presidency on the whole, The VP was largely seen as uninspiring by many Americans. Bernie Sanders was popular among populists. Sanders flips NM for the first time since 2000 and NV and CO for the first time since the 1990's. Sanders wins the the electoral and popular vote narrowly.

Bernie Sanders: 290 electoral votes and 50% of the popular vote
Paul Ryan: 248 electoral votes and 48% of the popular vote

[ultraviolet]

2012:

Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL)/Sen. Joe Biden (D-DE) 265 EVs; 49.1% PV

2016:

Sen. Joe Biden (D-DE)/Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) 272 EVs; 49.5% PV

What the uno-reverse-card is this and why would anyone let this happen

It's my random what-if scenario. Anyway, no one can know what would be happen if... . So, this is my scenario

Understood, but we can be sure that that would not happen.

[brucejoel99]

2000: Gore/Lieberman win.

2004: McCain/Giuliani narrowly defeat Gore/Lieberman (despite Gore having likely handled 9/11 & its aftermath better than W. did in real life) on account of Democratic fatigue, relentless right-wing attacks, & a sluggish recovery from the dot-com bubble burst.

2008: McCain/Giuliani lose to Hillary/Bayh in the wake of the Great Recession.

2012: Hillary/Bayh cruise to re-election against Romney (or somebody similar) because of the recovery & the fact that she's always incredibly well-liked & popular when she actually holds an office.

2016: Bayh is the Democratic nominee. Pretty much all I'd be willing to predict.

2020: Who knows?