2050 electoral votes

[Skill and Chance]

Florida will be underwater by then

Agree. I see us as a Likely D, Virginia-sized state with a whole lot of single-issue-climate-change-policy voters, maybe Louisiana is like this too (just with a much smaller total population), and to a lesser degree NC and VA

I could see a dystopian scenario where the Gulf Coast states are all near unanimous D with half their current EV due to single issue climate change voters, but 2050 is way too soon for that.  I could see it in 2100, though. 

When it comes to New England, I think there could be a big divergence of trends between CT and MA and the other states.  Dem improvement with white college+ voters should be able to completely lock down CT and MA even if working class whites in New England start voting like they do in Appalachia (which is not remotely impossible). 

Also, I wouldn't rule out Texas crossing California for 1st place in population by the 2050 census, though it probably won't happen until 2060-2070.

[Skill and Chance]

2048 margins:

why this map?

Why would Massachusetts and Virginia be republican but not North Carolina and Maine?

Moderate PA republican vs Huey Long esque democrat from the south.

I would have thought the entire South would be Democratic in this scenario.

Atlanta flipped GA, and the republican vice president elect was a sitting senator from Tennessee (who still barely carried his own home state, and managed to outrun the top of ticket by something like 7 points.

I assume CA was a swing state that barely went for the Dem in this scenario?