NJ-GOV 2021 megathread

[Nyvin]

Some of the blue counties are reporting next to nothing.

Bergen, which had Murphy +15 in 2017 with 200K+ votes is reporting... 2,000 votes right now.

What's left in Essex, Hudson, and Bergen alone makes it near certain Murphy wins.

[Nyvin]

Murphy is not an unpopular governor. If he wins, Ciattarelli defeating an incumbent in a D+15 state is a bad omen for the Democrats in 2022.
This isn't a case where it's an open race, the Republican is the incumbent or the governor is very unpopular, everything should be in Murphy's favor.

It's a miserable election environment for a party that hold the White House, simple as that.

[Nyvin]

Democrats will almost certainly lose their Senate majority next year and most likely won't regain one until 2029 at the earliest.