State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2 (user search)
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  State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2  (Read 170921 times)
Beet
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« on: September 18, 2018, 10:52:43 PM »

Wasnt surprised by the D underpreformance, the Ds also underpreformed in minority based seats in GA and FL. What did surprise me is how much they underpreformed, almost 25 points!

This can mean two things:
A. Hurd is likely to overpreform results, and Latino turnout will be rather weak in 2018

B. This means nothing, as its just the typical drop in turnout in minority based seats when its not election day
I don't know why they aren't turning out, given the rather...urgent situation emanating from the White House right now. 

It's almost as if they are just trying to get on with their lives and don't always feel the need to vote in an ethnically tribalistic way.
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Beet
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« Reply #1 on: February 05, 2019, 10:44:10 PM »

Damn. It wasn't even close. And that's before tonight's centrist SOTU speech. Trump landslide 2020?
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Beet
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« Reply #2 on: February 21, 2019, 12:13:31 AM »


There is no evidence to suggest that. Samirah was a flawed candidate and he still routed. Plus using a incumbents performance as a basis for a open seat isnt a good indicator. A better one is when the seat was last open and he performed 6 points better than then

Lol does every Virginia Dem have a scandal?
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