Conan makes a good argument. If it were Codey or Andrews, Kean Jr. would have got blown out BADLY. This is not a race we should have had to worry about but somehow did. Hell I even think Frank Pallone would have had double digits.
What you just said had nothing to do with what Conan said or what we are arguing about. Nothing.
The point - Kean didn't lose that badly so predicting that he'd win isn't that much of a bad call.
No one who lives in NJ would ever think that Kean was going to win. After becoming familiar with him as a candidate, it was just impossible. He's not ready for primetime.
It was very possible, and indeed, for part of the campaign, it seemed more likely than not. It almost doesn't matter how "ready for primetime" Kean is. In New Jersey, people don't watch Senatorial debates. They vote based on campaign commercials and prior political leanings.
Certainly, Wally Edge pinned Kean's loss on the national mood post-Foley. (cue: lol but BODINE)
And, thank you, I spent a good chunk of time in 2006 working in New Jersey to cover the damn race. But feel free to clutch to your notions that (1) polls always favor Republicans always always in September but get accurate in October always always and (2) New Jersey will never elect a Republican to anything ever ever never elect ever again ever ever.
Especially when there are a whole ****load of states more Republican than New Jersey that do.