More D:
FL
WI
MI
VA
CO
NV
NH
More R:
OH
PA
NC
IA
Florida has not voted more D since Jimmy Carter.
[img width=760 height=570]http://static6.businessinsider.com/image/55918b77ecad04a3465a0a63/nbc-fires-donald-trump-after-he-calls-mexicans-rapists-and-drug-runners.jpg[/ig]
Trump has deep roots in Florida, and he performed well in the state during the primaries. There is no legitimate reason to think that he will fare worse than other Republicans in the state.
Hispanics.
We're talking Florida, not New Mexico, Arizona, or Nevada. In the latter states, Hispanics are Mexican-Americans who are (supposedly) heavily anti-Trump. In Florida, Hispanics are more diverse, and some have historically supported GOP candidates (e.g. Cubans). Factor in Trump's ties to the state and his performance in the primary, there arises no reason to think that his presence alone will change a 40 year trend.
If anything, this is why the potential for a swing among Florida (and Texas) Hispanics is higher than in the Southwest.
