sg0508
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,061
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« on: November 07, 2014, 01:30:35 PM » |
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He's going to have a very rough time, but there's a chance. He has significant issues to overcome:
1) It will be a presidential year; turnout will be higher
2) The Democrat at the top of the ticket is likely to score at least 55% in IL to win the states EVs
3) Cook County vote will be way up; a GOP candidate breaking 1/3 of that vote in a presidential year is going to be rough
4) His health is in question
5) He's walked the GOP line (so I read) in the Senate rather than being more moderate, which he was in the House
6) The Democratic bench seems strong.
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