officially sanctioned who do you THINK will win the Democratic nomination?

[© tweed]

May 2006

Mark Warner 42.5%
Hillary Clinton 37.5%
Al Gore 6.3%
John Edwards 3.1%
Other 10.9%

August 2006

Mark Warner 37.2%
Russ Feingold 20.9%
Hillary Clinton 20.9%
Al Gore 11.6%
John Edwards 4.7%
Other 4.7%

November 2006

Hillary Clinton 43.2%
Barack Obama 24.3%
Al Gore 10.8%
Evan Bayh 10.8%
John Edwards 5.4%
Other (excl. Feingold) 5.4%

March 2007

Hillary Clinton 41.7%
Barack Obama 27.8%
John Edwards 5.6%
Al Gore 2.8%
Other 22.2% [most of these people with Richardson in mind]

April 2007

Barack Obama 35.2%
Hillary Clinton 27.8%
John Edwards 18.5%
Bill Richardson 13%
Al Gore 3.7%
Other 1.9%

June 2007

Hillary Clinton 44%
Barack Obama 32%
Al Gore 16%
John Edwards 4%
Other (excl. Richardson) 4%

July 2007

Hillary Clinton 55.6%
Barack Obama 20%
Al Gore 11.1%
Bill Richardson 8.9%
John Edwards 2.2%
Other 2.2%

August 2007

Hillary Clinton 70.5%
Barack Obama 11.4%
Bill Richardson 9.1%
John Edwards 6.8%
Other (excl. Gore) 2.3%

September 2007

Hillary Clinton 71.2%
Barack Obama 13.6%
John Edwards 8.5%
Bill Richardson 5.1%
Al Gore 1.7%

October 2007

Hillary Clinton 80.8%
Al Gore 7.7%
Barack Obama 3.8%
John Edwards 3.8%
Bill Richardson 1.9%
Other 1.9%

November 2007

Hillary Clinton 62.2%
Barack Obama 26.7%
John Edwards 11.1%

December 21-23, 2007

Hillary Clinton 46.7%
Barack Obama 37.8%
John Edwards 15.6%

December 31, 2007 - January 2, 2008

Hillary Clinton 46.2%
Barack Obama 33.3%
John Edwards 20.5%

January 5-8, 2008

Barack Obama 78.4%
Hillary Clinton 19.6%
Al Gore 2%

January 10-13, 2008

Hillary Clinton 56.4%
Barack Obama 40%
Al Gore 3.6%

January 21-23, 2008

Hillary Clinton 79.1%
Barack Obama 19.4%
Al Gore 1.5%

January 31-February 2, 2008

Hillary Clinton 59.7%
Barack Obama 38.7%
Al Gore 1.6%

February 6-8, 2008

Barack Obama 53.8%
Hillary Clinton 40.4%
Al Gore 3.8%
other 1.9%

February 20-22, 2008

Barack Obama 87%
Hillary Clinton 11.6%
Al Gore 1.4%

March 12-14, 2008

Barack Obama 72.1%
Hillary Clinton 25.6%
Al Gore 2.3%

[Eraserhead]

the black

[7,052,770]

Hillary.  She is going to find some way to pull a fast one out of nowhere.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Obama

[DownWithTheLeft]

Honestly, ask Vince Foster who is going to win

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Al Gore

[Michael Z]

Obama, but he's had a torrid week and his campaign has no doubt been damaged by Clinton's attacks and that stupid "bitter"-remark. He'll probably still win the nomination but he doesn't look as invincible as he did a month ago.

Either that or Hillary somehow squeezes the nomination, but Obama pulls a Reagan '76 and holds an amazing convention speech that immediately makes everyone think "Er... maybe we chose the wrong candidate". Hillary loses the GE after having alienated most of the Democratic base (thus a low turnout in liberal, young and black voters), McCain completely makes a pig's ear of it and et voila, President Obama in 2013.

Hey, it's still more feasible than the Al Gore scenario.

[© tweed]

bump for more participation

[Erc]

Is Hillary seriously at 18% on Intrade?

She has no business being above 10%, and should probably be quite a bit lower than that.


Free money, folks.

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

I love this one.

October 2007

Hillary Clinton 80.8%
Al Gore 7.7%
Barack Obama 3.8%
John Edwards 3.8%
Bill Richardson 1.9%
Other 1.9%

[Tender Branson]

Al Gore, but I voted for Obama.

[Frodo]

Let's just say that it will take a lot to convince me that anyone other than Barack Obama will win the Democratic nomination, as well as the presidency. 

[Lief 🗽]

I love this one.

October 2007

Hillary Clinton 80.8%
Al Gore 7.7%
Barack Obama 3.8%
John Edwards 3.8%
Bill Richardson 1.9%
Other 1.9%

Those were dark, dark days. Luckily, she's failed miserably ever since.

[jokerman]

Al Gore

[SPC]

John McCain.

[JSojourner]

Big come from behind win for Mike Gravel.

Obama.