Everyone saying CT is a possibility is absurd. CT has one of the highest education levels in the country coupled with a large and growing minority vote share. CT is the prototype for the new democratic coalition. Fairfield County is a perfect example of this: large urban minority base in Bridgeport and Stamford coupled with highly educated and socially liberal suburbs like Westport.
What if John Kasich or some other center-right, pro-business moderate was the nominee?
Nope. If Romney could only barely crack 40%, I don't see why Kasich does a whole lot better. He would lose all the social liberals immediately.
True. I know that the 2014 GOP gubernatorial nominee for Connecticutt, Tom Foley, was pro-choice and was in favor of maintaining the gay marriage law and was even open to the idea of raising the minimum wage, so that probably demonstrates how the CT GOP is firmly to center from the national GOP.