It's over.

[Wisconsin+17]

Why do all of these predictions have West Virginia for Trump?

[Wisconsin+17]

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Given that the only 2 West Virginians that I know are vastly in the tank for Cruz? I don't see it.

[Wisconsin+17]

Well, if you can find me a poll of West Virginia....

[Wisconsin+17]

February 22, 2016

With Trump at 40 and Rubio/Carson still in the race. Interesting, but useless.

[Wisconsin+17]

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I'd do a siggy bet. Since y'all are asserting a Trump +10 or whatevs - Trump winning by less that 60 percent, or Cruz winning, I win, else you win.

[Wisconsin+17]

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I hadn't seen a West Virginia poll. Is it really so unbelievable that WV which is pretty conservative would go Cruz?

[Wisconsin+17]

And yet, my delegate totals were correct.

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I suggest you answer my question. Oh, and Trump won KY, and TN because of the vote split between Cruz/Rubio.

[Wisconsin+17]

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I made my predictions back in February and said Trump would be around 1k in the delegates, I was closer than 538, and made correct calls in WI.

So again, you're harping on a state that I awarded to Trump, said would be solid Trump and it went that way.

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Thank you.

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*sigh*. He won VA, KY and lost in Ohio. He's not a strong nominee by any stretch of the name. A weak nominee like Romney would have wrapped it up with OH and FL. He did not. A weak nominee like Romney would have finished him off in WI, and not need it to go to NY, Trump needed that.

I get what you're saying, but I just don't see the core faith in WV must go Trump other than that he needs it for his delegates.

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Show me data. I'm not sure I buy the consensus here, and I am keeping it a Cruz call.

[Wisconsin+17]

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He still lost to Kasich. That doesn't give me tremendous faith in his ability to deliver voters.

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Most consider the actual results to be relevant.

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Given that he's a relatively weak nominee, that Cruz is more conservative and WV is generally a conservative state, these are all solid arguments for Cruz in WV.

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The irony is that you're harping on me for a successful call of RI for Trump. I predicted the sweep because I know the NE.

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I was being facetious in order to force out the actual sources behind all the WV calls. I've seen the evidence, I don't find his weak pluralities in TN or KY, and his outright loss in OH particularly compelling.

[Wisconsin+17]

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And yet, he still lost to Kasich in a two-man race. That is the point I'm trying to drive home here. Crubio topped him in WV and KY and TN, he lost to Kasich heads up in OH.

I wouldn't be nearly so confident in his ability to win in WV. I'm also amused in the utter devotion of Trumpbots to "Trump will sweep WV" because he obviously needs the delegates.

[Wisconsin+17]

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Clearly the rampant sexism of Atlasia has consequences. Who said they were men?