How much of a chance does Bauer have of winning?
Very small in the intial vote on Tuesday. I believe Haley will win the plurality, but there's little chance she wins the majority unless there is a huge backlash against Bauer and a huge wave of sympathy surrounds Haley, pushing her over the line. Bauer has been running second in some recent polls, about 15% behind Haley, but his campaign seems to have a bit of momentum while McMaster and Barret have been collapsing/out of the news. So he has a great chance at making the runoff.
Ah. I was going to suggest voting in the Republican Primary to try and stop Bauer, but, if he's that far behind, I guess, Gio, vote in whichever one you despise more!