Election 2012: Barack Obama 42%, Ron Paul 41%

[Eraserhead]

Rasmussen has officially lost it.

[Eraserhead]

Haha, keep it up, red avies.

In fact keep this arrogant mentality going right up until election day 2012 when Dr. Ronald Paul is elected 45th President of the United States.

Uh-huh. Well, lets say that for the sake of argument that this poll is accurate (it isn't but never mind that)... how does he win the Republican primary as a staunchly anti-war, anti-Patriot Act, anti-drug war candidate? Keep in mind that those are all positions that endear him to me!

[Eraserhead]

FiveThirtyEight.com posits that, without Rasmussen's house effect, Obama vs. Paul is more like Obama +10, which is probably closer to the truth.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/04/romney-not-paul-fares-best-in-12.html

Apparently, it is, for better or worse, Mittens who fares best in 2012 matchups.

EDIT: Haha, the first comment on that article could be written about this forum:

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Sorry, I'll trust Rasmussen over a hack site.

Come on, 538's pretty well respected. We're not talking about Daily Kos here.

Obama +10 is ridiculous. Obama's popularity is sinking by the hour.

It's an average of the polls. It is what it is.