Croatia Elections & Politics Megathread

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Most was in government with HDZ two times and both times they shortly left - why would you think that Most forms a coalition with HDZ again?

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skoro could become official opposition and hdz should go in history

LOL

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Miroslav Škoro says that a coalition with HDZ isn't impossible ("Plenković is the main problem"), and rejects the possibility of coalition with SDP.
https://www.jutarnji.hr/izbori/teme/skoro-konacno-izrekao-kljucnu-predizbornu-recenicu-nikad-nisam-rekao-da-necu-s-hdz-om-15005250

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According to the Ipsos exit poll, in the first constituency (central and western Zagreb) the left-green coalition Podemos Možemo narrowly won over HDZ and SDP coalitions.

https://twitter.com/FranKuseta/status/1279831319539744770

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Radimir Čačić, leader of NS-R (People's Party - Reformists) and its newly elected MP, has announced that he will support the HDZ government, giving it a narrow majority of 76.
https://www.jutarnji.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/ne-zelim-u-vladu-a-stromar-mi-je-neprihvatljiv-kao-covjek-mozemo-raspast-ce-se-odmah-15006794

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Bandić was a true populist and generally left-leaning

Bandić definitely is a populist, but even though he might be left-leaning, since he split from SDP, he has been aligned with the Croatian right. For example, his party has supported HDZ governments, he supported Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović, the HDZ candidate, in the Croatian presidential election, and at one point far-right "Independents for Croatia" were a part of the pro-Bandić governing coalition in the city.

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Nova TV has published second round Ipsos polls for Zagreb, Split, Rijeka and Osijek, including limited vote transfer data.
https://dnevnik.hr/vijesti/lokalni-izbori-2021/ekskluzivno-istrazivanje-dnevnika-nove-tv-lokalni-izbori-2021-drugi-krug---652182.html

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New Zagreb poll from Promocija Plus for RTL. Tomašević expectedly has a huge advantage over Škoro. Including crosstabs (by age, gender, education, ideology, first round choice, etc.)
https://www.rtl.hr/vijesti-hr/novosti/hrvatska/izbori-2021/4039706/ekskluzivno-zadnja-anketa-prije-konacne-bitke-za-zagreb-tomasevic-ima-ogromnu-prednost-pred-skorom/

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The result of the local elections could have an impact on the stability of Plenković government. Radimir Čačić, the incumbent president of Varaždin County who lost to the HDZ candidate, has threatened that his party NS-R (which is a key vote) would stop supporting the government if Ivan Čehok's local party is part of the governing majority in Varaždin County.
https://evarazdin.hr/politika/cacic-na-rtl-u-plenkovic-se-neka-do-sutra-ocituje-hoce-li-suradivati-s-cehokom-391466/