1984 Presidential Election (by congressional district) (user search)
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Author Topic: 1984 Presidential Election (by congressional district)  (Read 26679 times)
Fuzzybigfoot
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« on: October 20, 2010, 08:39:00 PM »
« edited: October 21, 2010, 11:36:21 AM by Pacific Justice Mr. Fuzzleton »

First, I'll start with:



Florida




The lightest shade of blue for florida equals GOP-50%

The only district Mondale won was the 17th, which he won with an 8% margin.  It contained some of Miami.


Note:  I can't find all the districts near Miami, which is why they've been left blank.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2010, 09:50:17 PM »
« Edited: July 07, 2011, 06:22:31 PM by Senator Fuzzleton »

Washington



There were no 70%+ districts for Reagan, and no districts he won gave him less that 50%.

Mondale got 58% of the vote in the Seventh District (which includes most of Seattle and a few suburbs)

Note:  Some congressional districts span both sides of the Puget Sound, so they are connected by one or more lines.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2010, 12:10:10 AM »
« Edited: October 23, 2010, 09:30:54 PM by Pacific Justice Mr. Fuzzleton »

Kentucky


Reagan barely won the third district (Louisville and some of it's suburbs) with a 52%-48% spread, while Mondale barely won Kentucky's seventh district (which is home to many union blue collar workers) with a 51%-48% spread.

Reagan won Kentucky's first district by 9%, which also has a more socially conservative/ fiscally liberal background.  

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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2010, 12:48:20 AM »
« Edited: October 21, 2010, 11:33:56 AM by Pacific Justice Mr. Fuzzleton »

Georgia




The only Mondale district was the 5th (Atlanta), he won it with over 60% of the vote.  
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2010, 09:00:07 AM »

Should I even bother to keep going?  I would have thought this would have been interesting to you guys, but maybe I was wrong...
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2010, 11:24:27 AM »
« Edited: October 22, 2010, 08:16:51 PM by Pacific Justice Mr. Fuzzleton »

Thanks, you guys. Smiley  

I was just afraid nobody really liked it.  I appreciate the feedback!

Here's a big one:

Ohio


Mondale won the 21st district with 78% of the vote, and carried the 20th district by a 3% margin (West Cleaveland and some suburbs).  Another big win for him was in the 17th district (Youngstown and Warren) where he recieved 57% of the vote to Reagan's 42%.  

However, Mondale was slaughtered almost everywhere else, with only the 9th (Toledo), 14th (Akron), and the 18th (Eastern Ohio, south of Youngstown) congressional districts giving Reagan narrow wins.





Note:  I had to guess some on the 19-21st districts, for they didn't show the exact boundries in the book.  Sad
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2010, 11:33:07 AM »
« Edited: October 21, 2010, 07:14:03 PM by Pacific Justice Mr. Fuzzleton »

Arkansas




There were no close disricts.  Mondale recieved more than 40% in the 1st and 4th Congressional districts, but still lost them by double digits.  

Arkansas's second congressional district (Little Rock) was won by Reagan with a 60%-39% spread.  And he hit 70% in Arkansas's 3rd congressional district.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2010, 11:39:58 AM »
« Edited: October 21, 2010, 11:44:07 AM by Pacific Justice Mr. Fuzzleton »

By the way, I literally had to re-draw some of these districts, so they arn't perfect, but they are pretty good.  Most of them were drawn based on county lines anyways.

I recieved all these results from a book called The Almanac of American Politics 1988 by Michael Barone and Grant Ujifusa.  It's a great read!  Cheesy

And now back to some more state data.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2010, 12:06:28 PM »

By the way, I literally had to re-draw some of these districts, so they arn't perfect, but they are pretty good.  Most of them were drawn based on county lines anyways.

I recieved all these results from a book called The Almanac of American Politics 1988 by Michael Barone and Grant Ujifusa.  It's a great read!  Cheesy

And now back to some more state data.

That's not the first time I've heard of those "almanacs" : they must be a true goldmine of political data... Do you know if modern and update versions exist ?

There are a bunch of used ones on Amazon and such, which is where I got mine.  You may be able to find some for 20-30 dollars.  Some are very expensive, up to 50 or 60 dollars.  


But mine were about $20.  They're pretty awesome.  Smiley
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2010, 12:26:01 PM »

By the way, I literally had to re-draw some of these districts, so they arn't perfect, but they are pretty good.  Most of them were drawn based on county lines anyways.

I recieved all these results from a book called The Almanac of American Politics 1988 by Michael Barone and Grant Ujifusa.  It's a great read!  Cheesy

And now back to some more state data.

That's not the first time I've heard of those "almanacs" : they must be a true goldmine of political data... Do you know if modern and update versions exist ?

There are a bunch of used ones on Amazon and such, which is where I got mine.  You may be able to find some for 20-30 dollars.  Some are very expensive, up to 50 or 60 dollars. 


But mine were about $20.  They're pretty awesome.  Smiley

Yeah, indeed. I guess I will try to buy one some day.

BTW, could you compile a list with districts where Reagan lost or won by less than 18.21 pts (ie his national margin), so that we'll have an idea of what a toss-up election would have been like.

I'd be glad to!  I'll get on it soon.     
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2010, 01:53:53 PM »

Texas

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=123708.0

I already entered this data on a different thread, so here's the link. 
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #11 on: October 21, 2010, 03:59:51 PM »

California is on the way!  Cheesy
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #12 on: October 21, 2010, 05:22:48 PM »
« Edited: October 22, 2010, 12:01:20 AM by Pacific Justice Mr. Fuzzleton »

Here it is:

California



Mondale carried 5 congressional districts in Los Angeles County alone, the other three from the Bay Area.

He came close to winning the 44th district, which covers downtown San Diego.  He lost it by about 5%.



Note:  I can't find congressional district boundries in parts of San Diego and Orange counties  
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #13 on: October 21, 2010, 06:24:06 PM »

Should I keep going?
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #14 on: October 21, 2010, 06:57:45 PM »

Alabama



There were no close districts whatsoever.  

But there wern't any 70%+ Reagan districts either.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #15 on: October 21, 2010, 11:23:12 PM »
« Edited: October 24, 2010, 03:05:06 PM by Pacific Justice Mr. Fuzzleton »

Colorado




Reagan won every congressional district with 60% of the vote or more, except for Colorado's First Congressional District (Denver), which Mondale won with about 53% of the vote.

Oddly enough, the First C.D. gave Mondale a better showing than the city of Denver as a whole (which Mondale won with a 50%-48% spread).  However, it is worthy to note that the city of Denver had slightly different boundaries in 1984 than in 1988 and so on. 
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #16 on: October 21, 2010, 11:43:15 PM »

Nevada




Reagan recieved over 60% in both districts.  Mondale didn't even hit 30% in Nevada's Second Congressional District (which is the larger of the two in land area), but he recieved 36% in the First.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #17 on: October 22, 2010, 12:19:30 AM »
« Edited: October 22, 2010, 12:22:08 AM by Pacific Justice Mr. Fuzzleton »

Kansas




LOL Mondale fail.  Reagan got at least 60% in every district.  
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #18 on: October 22, 2010, 08:15:21 PM »
« Edited: October 22, 2010, 08:17:44 PM by Pacific Justice Mr. Fuzzleton »

Louisiana





Mondale carried the 2nd District (which covered most of New Orleans) with 62% of the vote, was only 1% away from carrying the 8th District (in the center of the state) and hit 40% in the 7th District (the Southwestern portion of Louisiana).

Reagan's best performance was in the 1st District (directly above the 2nd) where he carried 77% of the vote.  
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #19 on: October 22, 2010, 10:48:37 PM »


Thanks!  Smiley
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #20 on: October 22, 2010, 10:56:03 PM »

Missouri





Mondale carried the 1st district (St. Louis) with 63% of the vote, and the 5th district (Kansas City) cith 54% of the vote.

Reagan recieved 60%+ in every other district.  
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #21 on: October 23, 2010, 12:28:35 PM »
« Edited: October 23, 2010, 12:34:03 PM by Pacific Justice Mr. Fuzzleton »

Alabama



There were no close districts whatsoever.  

But there wern't any 70%+ Reagan districts either.

Was any district majority-black?

Nope.    Some districts were 30% black or so, but no more.  
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #22 on: October 23, 2010, 12:34:31 PM »

New Jersey is on the way!  Smiley
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #23 on: October 23, 2010, 03:48:32 PM »

New Jersey

 



Mondale carried New Jersey's 10th district (Newark and some suburbs) and lost the 14th (Jersey City and suburbs) by a 6% margin.  The 1st district went to Reagan by a 10% margin (it contained the cities of Camden and Pennsauken, which are right across the river from Philadelphia, Pennsylvania).
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #24 on: October 23, 2010, 11:50:05 PM »

Nice maps, Fuzzy.

As expected, it appears the maps reflect economic interests a lot more than social interests.

Cool maps.

If you're confused about any boundaries, WWU has maps for old districts. Though that would admittedly be time-consuming. Wink

Online? If so, please give link.

No, unfortunately, hence the time-consuming comment. Smiley

Well I'll certainly look into it.  Thanks bgwah  Smiley
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