538 Model Megathread (user search)
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Author Topic: 538 Model Megathread  (Read 84488 times)
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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Posts: 22,833
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« on: June 30, 2016, 09:14:03 AM »

The map looks realistic, though I doubt that Johnson will be anywhere near 7%. Hillary will break 50%. I suppose she’ll end up with 51-52% of the vote, the Trumpster at 44-45% and Johnson+Stein at around 4%.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,833
United States



« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2016, 09:00:54 AM »

For the first time in forever, Trump has passed 40% in 538's polls-plus model.

Projected as the favorite in both Ohio and Florida. That doesn't make any sense.
The model doesn't make any sense this far out.

Trump now projected as the favorite in Nevada!!! They're adjusting all polling in the wrong direction!

LOL. Same in NH.
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