Bernie Runs as an Independent (user search)
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Fuzzy Bear Loves Christian Missionaries
Fuzzy Bear
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« on: February 19, 2017, 02:24:02 PM »

The 2020 GOP is stuck with Trump in the same way the 1980 Democrats were stuck with Jimmy Carter. 

The longer I live, the more I am convinced that if Carter had not been challenged by Kennedy he would have been re-elected. 
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Fuzzy Bear Loves Christian Missionaries
Fuzzy Bear
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Posts: 25,987
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« Reply #1 on: March 01, 2017, 07:46:54 PM »

The 2020 GOP is stuck with Trump in the same way the 1980 Democrats were stuck with Jimmy Carter. 

The longer I live, the more I am convinced that if Carter had not been challenged by Kennedy he would have been re-elected. 

-Kennedy didn't take down Carter. Reagan, the hostage crisis, and the recession did.

If Kennedy had not run, John Anderson's candidacy would have gotten no traction amongst Democrats; indeed, it probably wouldn't have gotten off the ground.

If Kennedy had not run, Carter would probably have saved a number of Democratic votes who went to Reagan due to party disunity and the fact that Democrats, themselves, were questioning his competency. 

Kennedy's challenge and Anderson's third party candidacy eroded a good deal of the incumbent advantage Carter had.  It was a tough climb for Carter, but he might have made it had Kennedy never happened, because if Kennedy hadn't happened, Anderson wouldn't have happened, IMO.
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