Northeastern Congressional Delegation (HoR)
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Author Topic: Northeastern Congressional Delegation (HoR)  (Read 834 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: June 19, 2015, 03:17:19 AM »

From 1912 to Present.



1912: 78/130 Democratic (60.0%)
1914: 88/130 Republican (67.7%)
1916: 92/130 Republican (70.8%)

1918: ?
1920: 114/130 Republican (87.7%)
1922: 85/130 Republican (65.4%)
1924: 97/130 Republican (74.6%)
1926: 92/130 Republican (70.8%)
1928: 96/130 Republican (73.8%)
1930: 88/130 Republican (67.7%)
1932: 66/129 Republican (51.2%)

1934: 78/129 Democratic (60.5%)
1936: 84/129 Democratic (65.1%)

1938: 72/129 Republican (55.8%)
1940: 69/129 Democratic (53.5%)
1942: 76/127 Republican (59.8%)
1944: 71/127 Republican (55.9%)
1946: 92/127 Republican (72.4%)
1948: 66/127 Republican (52.0%)
1950: 73/127 Republican (57.5%)
1952: 79/123 Republican (64.2%)
1954: 71/123 Republican (57.7%)
1956: 75/123 Republican (61.0%)

1958: 67/123 Democratic (54.5%)
1960: 63/123 Democratic (51.2%)
1962: 60/117 Democratic (51.3%)
1964: 77/117 Democratic (65.8%)
1966: 70/117 Democratic (59.8%)
1968: 68/117 Democratic (58.1%)
1970: 68/117 Democratic (58.1%)
1972: 62/113 Democratic (54.9%)
1974: 75/113 Democratic (66.4%)
1976: 78/113 Democratic (69.0%)
1978: 75/113 Democratic (66.4%)
1980: 66/113 Democratic (58.4%)
1982: 66/104 Democratic (63.5%)
1984: 61/104 Democratic (58.7%)
1986: 62/104 Democratic (59.6%)
1988: 62/104 Democratic (59.6%)
1990: 62/104 Democratic (59.6%)
1992: 54/97 Democratic (55.7%)
1994: 51/97 Democratic (52.6%)
1996: 57/97 Democratic (58.8%)
1998: 58/97 Democratic (59.8%)
2000: 57/97 Democratic (58.8%)
2002: 55/92 Democratic (59.8%)
2004: 56/92 Democratic (60.9%)
2006: 68/92 Democratic (73.9%)
2008: 75/92 Democratic (81.5%)
2010: 62/92 Democratic (67.4%)
2012: 61/87 Democratic (70.1%)
2014: 56/87 Democratic (64.4%)
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Cubby
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« Reply #1 on: June 21, 2015, 06:35:26 PM »

1994 made barely a dent, wow.

Is that because most of the gains that year were in Southern districts, due to a political compact between white Republicans and black Democrats? I remember hearing or reading that somewhere. Minority voters were packed into gerrymandered districts like NC-12 while the surrounding districts were "bleached" or some word like that, meaning made whiter, and therefore more likely to elect Republicans.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #2 on: June 21, 2015, 09:01:11 PM »

The region has lost 17 seats in 25 years.  i'd also be interested in seeing composition without Pennsylvania, which I think skew the Democratic dominance a bit.
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RFayette
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« Reply #3 on: June 21, 2015, 09:15:32 PM »

Wow.  The Northeast changed their H.o.R. allegiances waay more quickly than for the Senate.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #4 on: June 21, 2015, 09:37:08 PM »

The region has lost 17 seats in 25 years.  i'd also be interested in seeing composition without Pennsylvania, which I think skew the Democratic dominance a bit.

It definitely would, especially in the early half of the 20th century (there were elections where all but one or two seats out of 30-something was Republican) and now with its ridiculously gerrymandered map. I'm not going to run through all the numbers again, but doing a few random years it seems to skew it 2-5 points to the right on average.
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muon2
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« Reply #5 on: June 22, 2015, 01:34:37 AM »

An interesting statistic is the total number of Dems, regardless of the size of the delegation. The total number of Dems during the W and Obama years (55-75) are consistent with those during FDRs time (51-84). The change in percentages look more like the Pub seats have simply gone away as the delegation has contracted.

1912: 78
1914: 42
1916: 38

1918: ?
1920: 16
1922: 45
1924: 33
1926: 38
1928: 34
1930: 42
1932: 63

1934: 78
1936: 84
1938: 57
1940: 69
1942: 51
1944: 56
1946: 35
1948: 61
1950: 44
1952: 44
1954: 52
1956: 48

1958: 67
1960: 63
1962: 60
1964: 77
1966: 70
1968: 68
1970: 68
1972: 62
1974: 75
1976: 78
1978: 75
1980: 66
1982: 66
1984: 61
1986: 62
1988: 62
1990: 62
1992: 54
1994: 51
1996: 57
1998: 58
2000: 57
2002: 55
2004: 56
2006: 68
2008: 75
2010: 62
2012: 61
2014: 56
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #6 on: June 22, 2015, 03:09:57 AM »

It illustrates just why the party, and especially its Conservative wing began to look to the South and West. The only way the Party could get a majority was to win 2/3rds of the seats in the Northeast and that was unlikely with a Conservative GOP in a New Deal Era.
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freepcrusher
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« Reply #7 on: June 23, 2015, 12:22:43 AM »

It illustrates just why the party, and especially its Conservative wing began to look to the South and West. The only way the Party could get a majority was to win 2/3rds of the seats in the Northeast and that was unlikely with a Conservative GOP in a New Deal Era.

another classic SCNY post with the same hackery. Guy sounds like Jay Cost almost.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #8 on: June 23, 2015, 10:09:30 AM »

It illustrates just why the party, and especially its Conservative wing began to look to the South and West. The only way the Party could get a majority was to win 2/3rds of the seats in the Northeast and that was unlikely with a Conservative GOP in a New Deal Era.

another classic SCNY post with the same hackery. Guy sounds like Jay Cost almost.

Who is SCNY? Tongue

Are you saying Conservatives didn't start to target the South and west in the 1950's? Elections like 1958 and 1948 illustrated that with a unionized region as its base, the GOP would only win in the biggest landslide and then would lose it the next election once those union voters turned out. They were also disadvantaged in even years and even when Ike was reelected, they failed to reclaim the majority in either House.
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