patzer
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,059
Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -3.48
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« on: June 20, 2022, 10:22:16 AM » |
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The long term trends determine in part in who the Democratic nominee in the next few elections is. If it's a Northern liberal, white southern Dems will either go R or third party.
On the other hand if the 1964 presidential race is Nixon vs Thurmond or something, and this sort of thing persists, the Democratic party might take a very different course. While it's significantly less likely, I wouldn't rule out the possibility of a realignment resulting in something similar to today's political coalitions but in the opposite direction.
e.g.
Richard Nixon (R) 1960-68
George Wallace (D) 1968-76
Hiram Fong (R) 1976-80
Ronald Reagan (D) 1980-88
Ralph Hall (D) 1988-92
Joe Biden (R) 1992-2000
Richard Shelby (D) 2000-08
Barack Obama (R) 2008-16
Donald Trump (D) 2016-
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