Nelson will most likely win, but Atlas's steadfast assumption that this race is Safe D and he can just waltz right through it is hilarious.
The left really needs to wake the heck up about Florida. Wealthier than average white retirees are probably Trump's best demographic in the country and contrary to all rhetoric, Republicans are mostly holding their own in the Hispanic parts of the state. Also, Trump telling off Cuba and Iran probably helps Republicans a lot in Florida. It could plausibly go back to being part of the GOP base over the next several years.
