FL-SEN 2022: Nothing to see here

[SnowLabrador]

Per Wikipedia, Marco Rubio has announced on Facebook that he will run again.

Can any Democrat make this competitive?

[SnowLabrador]

Likely R, although if Nelson wanted to make a comeback he could so but it will be an uphill battle

I highly doubt it. He's 78, and he will be 80 on Election Day 2022. That said, age didn't stop a certain person from running for an office much higher than US Senator from Florida.

[SnowLabrador]

https://twitter.com/MadelainePisani/status/1333766836920479744

Allan Ellison is no more than a C-Lister for the Democrats here.

Waiting on Decisions from Rep. Darren Soto, Rep. Stephanie Murphy and Rep. Val Demings.

If all 3 pass on the Race I am going to move FL-SEN to likely R.

It's there already. Granted, it's still VERY early.

[SnowLabrador]

Does Rubio win his primary?

Why wouldn't he? He's pretty popular in Florida.

[SnowLabrador]

Per Wikipedia, Marco Rubio has announced on Facebook that he will run again.

Can any Democrat make this competitive?

Debbie Wasserman Schultz or Corrine Brown

No lol

Debbie Wasserman Schultz would lose by 50 and I'd be right there voting against her.

As for Brown, she has too much baggage, including her felony fraud conviction.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corrine_Brown#Political_controversies

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corrine_Brown#Felony_fraud_conviction

Corrine Brown is a FL Dem-style bad outcome just waiting to happen, if she gets the nod for a statewide run.

Brown's legal troubles are why she lost her seat to Al Lawson in 2016. And during her time in Congress, she was one of the most ignorant and self-serving Representatives. I recall watching a YouTube clip of her infamous "Go Gators" speech on the House floor from about a decade or so ago. Her political career is finished, and if she were somehow the Democratic nominee, she would lose by close to double digits.

She would lose by double digits. It's a very good thing that she won't be our nominee.

[SnowLabrador]

I hope Grayson doesn't win the primary. Of course, this race probably isn't winnable for Democrats anyway.

[SnowLabrador]

Stephanie Murphy is going to beat Marco Rubio.

I'm not a huge fan of Murphy and think she's overrated. That said, I'd be thrilled if this happened. I doubt it will, since it's Florida.

[SnowLabrador]

https://www.newsweek.com/florida-democrats-sound-alarm-after-spanish-language-oan-buys-miami-radio-station-fires-liberal-1583297

I'm calling it now: Rubio wins by 15.

[SnowLabrador]

If we can't get anybody non-controversial, then Florida Democrats are even more incompetent than I thought. Even if this race was never winnable to begin with.

[SnowLabrador]

Democrats aren't going to win this race, but better Murphy than Grayson.

[SnowLabrador]

I prefer Demings to Murphy, but it's still not going to be close. Rubio will win easily, probably by double digits.

[SnowLabrador]

I think the DSCC will clear the field for Demings.

They had better. I hate Murphy; she voted to allow Trump to attack Iran.

[SnowLabrador]

Rubio will win by 12+, if not 15+

It's still Florida, not Iowa.

Rubio has a lot more crossover appeal than Joni Ernst, and she won by well over six points in 2020.

[SnowLabrador]

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/rubio-demings-2022-showdown-could-become-most-expensive-senate-race-ever.amp

Not that it matters much for the outcome. Jaime Harrison raised unprecedented amounts of money for the 2020 senate election and still couldn't even crack the Republicans' 54% freiwall in South Carolina.

Citizens United has turned out to have far less of an impact upon electoral outcomes then had initially been feared. Money doesn't always buy elections, and money cannot overcome partisan conditions that are very antagonistic to one party or the other.

Citizens United increased partisan polarization. In that respect, it has helped Republicans.

[SnowLabrador]

Rubio will win, and only by slightly less than DeSantis.

[SnowLabrador]

I'm still skeptical that Demings can make it particularly close, and I highly doubt she'll win. But it would be pretty funny if Rubio narrowly lost for the same reason as Bill Nelson; namely, taking his race for granted in a year that should have been favorable for his party. Like I said, though, I do not expect this to happen.

[SnowLabrador]

If this was even the FL of 2016 or 2018, Demings would have a real shot IMO.

2018 I definitely agree with. She's running a much better campaign than Bill Nelson.