I must ask you, though, that R crossover #....there's just no way, is there? There aren't enough Latino Rs to make that a reality. FL educated white crossover just can't be that high, right?
The R crossover has been a defining feature of this election, though. Time after time we're hearing about R's who won't vote for Trump, because he's a sex pest / racist / unqualified / not a conservative / in bed with Russia / whatever reason. The NeverTrump movement has been a thing, candidates for congress have been running away, parts of FoxNews have turned on him.
At some point this has to actually show up in the results, right? It can't just be minorities who are switching? Everyone right now on here is just assuming that R's are voting Trump, that early voting number showing strong R turnout has to be for Trump? Is this really all because of Comey?
28% is high, obviously. My theory, fwiw, is that some Independents who are basically solid Republican voters are self-identifying as registered Republicans so they can demonstrate that they are switching across the aisle to vote for Clinton this election.