KFYR-TV/Mason-Dixon: Cramer +4

[Calthrina950]

This is definitely a tossup, and may even be Lean Republican. But we will have to see more polls before that kind of determination can be made. It is still possible that Heitkamp, Donnelly, and McCaskill (and maybe even Nelson), all lose. I don't think that will happen, given the environment, but I would not be surprised if one or two out of that group (which would also include Tester and Manchin), lost, even as Democrats did well elsewhere. Polarization has become a really defining feature of so many of these states.