Certainly a smart call, although I note the lack of abandonment of Florida after 2016.
I admit I still held out hope for FL post-2016, but 2018's outcomes made it painfully clear where that s[inks]t-hole was heading.
It would, honestly, be insane to have thought that Florida was gone after 2016, but I merely wanted to make a point of not this massive prediction so early that it was lost.
Between 2016-2018 it still appeared like Florida was being the usual bellwether/tipping point state it had been for so many election cycles previously. I only figured that FL would lean a bit to the right after 2018. However, after 2020 and especially the news that Republicans will outnumber Democrats in voter registrations, its fairly clear that it’s going to be gone.
I would say Florida is currently the inverse of where Virginia was in the late 2000’s and early to mid 2010’s. A then purple state clearly heading towards being a partisan one, though of course Virginia became solidly blue and Florida is looking towards being more solidly red.